SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Australian Society and Politics


You can’t think (or write, or speak) about an economy without also having a sense of the broader social and economic framework in which it operates. I try very hard to avoid partisan political commentary, but I do sometimes feel moved to write or talk about social or political developments.

The Economic Consequences of Misguided Localism

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Tasmania | 22nd November 2020

An analysis of the potential economic consequences of the Tasmanian Government’s decision (taken, it would seem, under pressure from the Australian federal government) to over-ride the decision of the board of its state-owned shipping company, TT-Line, to purchase replacements for its two Bass Strait ferries, the Spirits of Tasmania, from Europe, in favour of having […]


Regulatory action that ANZ would not like

Australian Society and Politics, Publications, The Australian Economy | 8th November 2020

Last month, a senior Minister in the Morrison Government threatened my former employer, ANZ Bank, with adverse regulatory actions because a well-known employee with the initials “SE” (in this case, the current CEO Shayne Elliott) said something that the Minister didn’t like. This brought back fond memories, which I couldn’t help writing about .


VIC Lockdown Fines Outdo Other States

Australian Society and Politics, News, Topics | 11th October 2020

Interview with Sky News Australia, 10th October 2020 Victorians payed $2.2m more in COVID fines than rest of Australia combined during first lockdown Economist Saul Eslake has discovered Victorians during the first lockdown payed almost $6 million in fines for allegedly breaching COVID restrictions, $2.2 million more than the rest of the country combined. “Let […]


Victoria – The Police State

Australian Society and Politics | 29th September 2020

Consistent with the well-established practice of Victorian Governments of both political persuasions, Victoria has seen Covid-19 as providing unsurpassed opportunities to extend the use of its police force as an adjunct of the State Revenue Office. During Australia’s ‘first wave’ of Covid-19 infections, no other state was as assiduous as Victoria in fining its citizens […]


‘Sovereign Risk’ and the proposed Adani Carmichael coal mine in Queensland

Australian Society and Politics | 21st May 2018

A paper commissioned by the Australian Conservation Foundation, asking whether a decision by a future Australian Government to halt the proposed Carmichael (Adani) coal mine in Queensland’s Galilee Basin would constitute ‘sovereign risk’ and put Australia’s AAA credit rating at risk, or would otherwise undermine Australia’s capacity to attract foreign investment


Submission to the Productivity Commission’s Review of Horizontal Fiscal Equalization

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies | 10th November 2017

The Productivity Commission (PC) is conducting a review of the way in which the revenue from Australia’s goods and services tax (GST) is shared among Australia’s States and Territories, with a view to evening out their capacity to provide a similar range and standard of public services to their citizens, having regard both to differences […]


Productivity Commission’s Draft Report on the GST revenue distribution formula

Australian Society and Politics, News | 10th October 2017

Brian Carlton | Tasmania Talks | 10th October 2017 Interview with Northern Tasmania commercial radio’s Brian Carlton on the Productivity Commission’s draft report into the distribution of revenue from the GST among Australia’s State and Territory Governments (otherwise known as ‘horizontal fiscal equalization’), 10th October 2017 A productivity commission report has recommended that changes be […]


Inequality, Inefficiency and Australia’s System of ‘Horizontal Fiscal Equalization’

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies | 29th August 2017

Keynote address to a Workshop on Federal Relations and Tax Reform hosted by the University of Adelaide’s School of Economics, in Adelaide on 29th August.


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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


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Could China have a currency crisis at some point in the next 2-5 years?
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What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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