‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Australian Society and Politics

You can’t think (or write, or speak) about an economy without also having a sense of the broader social and economic framework in which it operates. I try very hard to avoid partisan political commentary, but I do sometimes feel moved to write or talk about social or political developments.

A Pre-Election Western Australia Chart Pack

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 10th March 2021

A set of charts exploring the unusual structure of Western Australia’s economy; and how it became Australia’s richest state as a result of the China-fuelled ‘resources boom’ of 2005-2015, before falling into recession after the end of the ‘investment phase’ of that boom, and how having squandered a good deal of the revenue bonanza thrown […]

Interview with Tasmania Talks’ Mike O’loughlin

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Tasmania | 16th February 2021

Saul talks to Tasmania Talks’ Mike O’loughlin on 16th February, 2021 about “arriving in a foreign country”, Jobseeker payment, Mid-Year Review of Tasmania Budget, and the lifting of compulsory superannuation rate.

Economist Saul Eslake questions need for so many details

Australian Society and Politics, News, Tasmania | 15th February 2021

Saul comments on ‘visa requirements’at Tasmanian airports and lack of social distancing despite bureaucratic procedures supposedly ordained to “keep Tasmanians safe”

Media coverage of my report on replacements for the Spirits of Tasmania ferries

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Publications, Tasmania | 27th November 2020

Saul Eslake stands by Spirits of Tasmania replacement report Follow up interview with Tasmania Talks‘ Aaron Stephens News, Publications, Tasmania | 27th November 2020 Interview with Triple M Hobart on ‘Choices and Consequences’ Interview with Triple M Hobart‘s Brian Carlton: The Spoonman News, Publications, Tasmania | 24th November 2020 Interview with Tasmania Talks on ‘Choices and Consequences’ Interview with Tasmania Talks‘ Aaron Stephens News, Publications, Tasmania | […]

The Economic Consequences of Misguided Localism

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Tasmania | 22nd November 2020

An analysis of the potential economic consequences of the Tasmanian Government’s decision (taken, it would seem, under pressure from the Australian federal government) to over-ride the decision of the board of its state-owned shipping company, TT-Line, to purchase replacements for its two Bass Strait ferries, the Spirits of Tasmania, from Europe, in favour of having […]

Regulatory action that ANZ would not like

Australian Society and Politics, Publications, The Australian Economy | 8th November 2020

Last month, a senior Minister in the Morrison Government threatened my former employer, ANZ Bank, with adverse regulatory actions because a well-known employee with the initials “SE” (in this case, the current CEO Shayne Elliott) said something that the Minister didn’t like. This brought back fond memories, which I couldn’t help writing about .

VIC Lockdown Fines Outdo Other States

Australian Society and Politics, News, Topics | 11th October 2020

Interview with Sky News Australia, 10th October 2020 Victorians payed $2.2m more in COVID fines than rest of Australia combined during first lockdown Economist Saul Eslake has discovered Victorians during the first lockdown payed almost $6 million in fines for allegedly breaching COVID restrictions, $2.2 million more than the rest of the country combined. “Let […]

Victoria – The Police State

Australian Society and Politics | 29th September 2020

Consistent with the well-established practice of Victorian Governments of both political persuasions, Victoria has seen Covid-19 as providing unsurpassed opportunities to extend the use of its police force as an adjunct of the State Revenue Office. During Australia’s ‘first wave’ of Covid-19 infections, no other state was as assiduous as Victoria in fining its citizens […]


Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness

Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.

“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast

“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia

“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies

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Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations

Have we passed ‘peak China’? (and might a big fall in the RMB be on the horizon?)
Asian Economies, The Global Economy
11th July 2024

‘The Big Picture’
Asian Economies, Economic Policies, Economic Video, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy
22nd June 2024

ATO’s Latest Taxation Statistics – June 2024
News, Recent Media Interview, Taxation
20th June 2024

Other central banks are cutting rates, why isnt the RBA?
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
13th June 2024

Interest Rate and Inflation – Where to now?
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
8th June 2024

The pros and cons of cutting immigration
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
7th June 2024

A post-Budget conversation
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
16th May 2024

The 2024-25 Australian Government Budget – An Assessment
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
15th May 2024

Upcoming Federal Budget with Laura Jayes
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy
13th May 2024

Preview of the 2024-25 Federal Budget
Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy
11th May 2024

The WA GST deal – the worst public policy decision of the 21st century thus far – Address to the National Press Club
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies
8th May 2024

The implications of Australia’s higher-than-expected March quarter inflation numbers
News, The Australian Economy
25th April 2024

‘A distinctive part of life in Australia’ The Declining Dream of Homeownership
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing
17th April 2024

Could China have a currency crisis at some point in the next 2-5 years?
Asian Economies, The Global Economy, Topics
16th April 2024


Recent Presentations

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What Others Say

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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