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SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Topics


The Worst Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century Thus Far – a discussion with the Economics Writer for The West Australian, on ABC Radio National’s “It’s the Economy, Stupid”

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Taxation | 26th February 2026

Saul appeared along with the economics writer for _The West Australian_ newspaper, Matt McKenzie, on ABC Radio National’s “It’s the Economy, Stupid!” hosted by Peter Martin AM, to discuss The Worst Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century Thus Far, aka “the WA GST deal” (under which the Federal Government is gifting Australia’s richest state, […]


Opening statement to the Senate Select Committee on the Operation of the Capital Gains Tax Discount

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, Taxation | 25th February 2026

Saul was asked to testify to the Senate Select Committee on the Operation of the Capital Gains Tax Discount on 25th February 2026. Below is Saul’s ‘opening statement’ to the Committee.


Submission to the Productivity Commission’s Inquiry into The Worst Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century Thus Far (aka “the WA GST deal”).

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy | 5th January 2026

The Productivity Commission has been asked to inquire into what I’ve called The Worst (Australian) Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century Thus Far – namely, the Orwellianly-titled Treasury Laws Amendment (Making Sure Every State and Territory Gets Their Fair Share of GST) Act 2018, legislated by the Morrison Government (with the support of the […]


Bitcoin’s Rollercoaster: Tariffs, Margin Calls, and the Future of Crypto

Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy | 25th November 2025

Economist Saul Eslake explains why Bitcoin plunged 30% after record highs in October. From Trump’s 100% tariff shock to margin calls and ETF outflows, Eslake unpacks the forces driving crypto’s volatility and asks whether Bitcoin can scale new heights.


The Australian Economy in 2025-26: Presentation to Economics Teachers

Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 24th November 2025

Saul Eslake’s presentation to the Victorian Commercial Teachers’ Association “CommView 2025” conference in Melbourne on 25th November 2025.  In addition to discussing various aspects of the Australian economy in 2025-26 it also looks at: the very different implications for Australia, compared with other ‘advanced’ economies, of the rapid growth and industrialization of China over the […]


Tasmania’s “Interim” 2025-26 Budget – An Opportunity Missed to Start the Task of Budget Repair

Economic Policies, Tasmania | 6th November 2025

My take on today’s Tasmanian “interim” 2025-26 Budget presented by Treasurer Eric Abetz. I see it as a missed opportunity to ‘get on’ with the task of ‘budget repair’, which as the Tasmanian Treasury has been pointing out since 2019, only gets harder the longer it is put off.


Inside the WA GST:
The Worst Public Policy of the 21st Century

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview | 4th November 2025

Saul Eslake talks to the host of ABC Radio National’s Breakfast program, Sally Sara, about the Western Australian Government’s campaign to defend what Saul calls “the Worst Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century Thus Far”, the undermining of the long-standing principles governing the distribution of revenue from the GST to the states and territories at the behest of Australia’s richest state, WA, at a cost to the Federal Budget of $60 billion over eleven years.


Tasmania’s Economy and Public Finances – a pre-Budget Update

Tasmania | 4th November 2025

Ahead of the presentation of an ‘interim Budget’ for the 2025-26 financial year by new Treasurer Eric Abetz on Thursday 6th November, here is a set of charts depicting the performance of Tasmania’s economy relative to the rest of Australia, and the condition of Tasmania’s public finances. It’s not pretty.


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.



“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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VIDEO

Most Recent Multimedia


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


Australian Minister for Housing, the Hon. Clare O'Neill MP on ABC Q&A, September 2024

“We are lucky as a State to have an economist of your calibre willing to readily make yourself available to give us a clea r perception of where we are at and the direction we need to go for a better future”
Diplomatic Representative, August 2024

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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LINKS

Useful Links


Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics

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