" />

SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Yearly Archives: 2025


The real meaning of last November’s US elections is becoming clearer – the American people voted for this

Australian Society and Politics, News, Security, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 9th March 2025

An article originally published on Pearls and Irritations (a blog curated by John Menadue), and by The New Daily on 9th February 2025 I am not suffering from what some of President Donald Trump’s more fervent supporters — both in the US and in Australia — like to call “Trump derangement syndrome”. That is, I’m not disputing that […]


Werribee voters send messages to both major Victorian political parties

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Publications | 9th March 2025

My op-ed in The Australian Financial Review of 9th February 2025 about the meaning of the by-elections held in the Victorian state seats of Werribee and Prahran the precdeding day – in particular, about the Victorian economy and the parlous state of Victoria’s public finances. Federal election 2025: Liberal Party is yet to heed the message […]


Review of the case for privatization of Tasmanian Government business enterprises

Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 6th March 2025

In his annual ‘State of the State’ address to the Tasmanian Parliament on 4th March, Tasmania’s Premier the Hon. Jeremy Rockliff MP announced that he had asked me to provide the Government with advice as to whether it should consider selling any of its state-owned enterprises (other than Hydro Tasmania, the state-owned electricity generation company, […]


Victoria’s economy and public finances

Australian Society and Politics, The Australian Economy | 5th March 2025

Victoria’s economy has begun to under-perform that of the rest of Australia, even though its population growth rate (which has under-pinned an above average ‘headline’ economic growth rate for most of the past two decades) is still above that of the rest of Australia. But measured in terms of either per capita gross product, or […]


China Live-fire in the Tasman Sea

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Tasmania | 2nd March 2025

Saul Eslake talks with the newest member of the InEconomics team, Rear Admiral Rowan Moffatt AO, RAN (retd) about what the flotilla from the Chinese PLA-Navy was doing in the Tasman Sea and other waters off the Australian coast last week, what China might be seeking to achieve by that, and what the implications for Australia might be.


Potential ‘Black Swan’ Events

Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 27th February 2025

Saul Eslake talks with LinkedIn’s Finance Editor Misa Han about potential ‘black swan’ events for financial markets in 2025 – including a possible melt-down in crypto-currencies, ongoing increases in bond yields, outbreaks of military conflicts and escalating trade tensions. Yes, there are also things to be optimistic about – but markets seem to have ‘price those in’, whilst giving much less weight to potential negative shocks.


Share Market Risks

Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 27th February 2025

Saul talks with LinkedIn Finance Editor Misa Han about some of the potential risks facing share market investors this year, including rising bond yields, stretched valuations, disappointments with realizing the potential of AI (or in identifying ‘winners’ and ‘losers’), and ‘contagion risks’ in the event of a melt-down in crypto-currencies’.


Tasmania’s Public Finances
& the Independent Review of Tasmania’s State Finances (Aug, 2024)

News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 14th February 2025

Saul spoke to ABC Radio Hobart and Tasmania Statewide’s “Mornings” presenter Leon Compton about the latest update on Tasmania’s public finances, and the Government’s formal response to the Independent Review of Tasmania’s State Finances published in August 2024.


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.



“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


Request Speaking Engagement

VIDEO

Most Recent Multimedia


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


Australian Minister for Housing, the Hon. Clare O'Neill MP on ABC Q&A, September 2024

“We are lucky as a State to have an economist of your calibre willing to readily make yourself available to give us a clea r perception of where we are at and the direction we need to go for a better future”
Diplomatic Representative, August 2024

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

Read more

LINKS

Useful Links


Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics

Read more