The Australian Economy
Australia hasn’t had a recession – in the widely used sense of two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth – since 1991. Since then, Australia’s ranking among nations in terms of per capita GDP has risen from 22nd to, in the last four years, either 12th or 13th, behind only the United States, Norway, Switzerland and a number of other smaller states which are predominantly either oil producers or financial centres. Australia’s economic performance reflects a combination of luck and management – the relative importance and quality of which have varied significantly from time to time. Monitoring the performance of and analysing the prospects for the Australian economy has been the major part of my ‘day job’ since I completed my university degree in 1979.
Global turmoil, tariffs and impacts on the Australian economy
Asian Economies, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy, Topics | 30th April 2025Saul Eslake’s presentation to a webinar hosted by the Freight & Trade Alliance (Australia’s leading representative body for the international supply chain sector bringing together importers, exporters, customs brokers, freight forwarders, logistics service providers and industry groups) on 29th April 2025.
The two worrying trends revealed in Australia’s AAA warning
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 30th April 2025Saul Eslake’s op-ed published in The Australian Financial Review on 30th April about two sources of risk to Australia’s AAA credit rating, highlighted by S&P’s warning at the beginning of the final week of the 2025 election campaign.
Australia’s Federal Election 2025 Key Issues
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, Productivity, Recent Media Interview, Taxation, The Australian Economy | 27th April 2025In this InEconomics podcast series Saul Eslake dives into an in-depth analysis of cost-of-living and housing issues, shedding light on untargeted policies and the broader economic implications.
The Importance of Productivity – and What to Do About It
Economic Policies, Productivity, The Australian Economy | 29th March 2025Slides accompany talks to clients of The Bevington Group, a Melbourne-based management consulting firm specializing in operating model and process transformation, about the importance of productivity – and what might be done to arrest and reverse the slide in productivity growth in Australia.
The 2025-26 Federal Budget – An Assessment
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 27th March 2025Saul Eslake’s assessment of the 2025-26 Australian Government Budget, presented by Treasurer Dr Jim Chalmers on 25th March 2025.
What might and might not be in the budget
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 24th March 2025Saul Eslake spoke with ABC-TV’s 7.30 Chief Political Correspondent Laura Tingle about what might and might not be in the 2025-26 Australian Federal Budget to be delivered on 25th March.
The Impact of President Trump’s ‘trade war’
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 18th March 2025Saul Eslake spoke with ABC Radio 702 Sydney’s ‘Mornings’ Presenter Hamish McDonald about the impact of US President Donald Trump’s ‘trade war’ on the Australian and global economies, and the stock market.
Potential Risks in the Australian Share Market
Economic Policies, Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 18th March 2025Saul spoke to Sean Boss of Hot Copper, a website for retail investors, on 14th March about the potential risks for investors in the Australian share market, and how to manage them.