The Global Economy
Australia may be an island continent, but it is no more immune to global economic influences than are other countries which share physical borders with their nearest neighbours. Australia is very much exposed to global swings in commodity prices, and to fluctuations in major advanced economies and (increasingly) to business cycles in key emerging economies such as China. Australia’s financial markets are increasingly integrated with the their global counterparts. And Australian economic policy-makers cannot ignore changes in monetary, fiscal and other economic policy settings in the world’s major economies. Hence, an awareness of trends in the global economy is an essential element of understanding Australian economic conditions.
The Economic Consequences of Mr Trump – for the US, and for Australia
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 18th June 2025Presentation to an ‘Island of Ideas’ forum hosted by the University of Tasmania in Hobart on 18th June 2025. There is a podcast of the forum here : Australia and the Trump Effect – YouTube (Saul’s presentation starts at about 20:00 minutes in).
The World and Australian Economies in a Nutshell – Presentation to 2025 All Actuaries Summit
Productivity, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 12th June 2025Saul’s presentation to the Actuaries’ Institute “All Actuaries Summit” in Sydney on 12th June 2025:
Is the United States about to step over a dangerous financial precipice?
Economic Policies, News, The Global Economy | 24th May 2025Interest rates on US Federal Government debt are on the cusp of exceeding the growth rate of (nominal) US GDP – an unusual situation, and one which challenges what has been the ‘conventional wisdom’ in economic policy-making circles for at least the past six years that government deficits and debt may not matter as much […]
Global turmoil, tariffs and impacts on the Australian economy
Asian Economies, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy, Topics | 30th April 2025Saul Eslake’s presentation to a webinar hosted by the Freight & Trade Alliance (Australia’s leading representative body for the international supply chain sector bringing together importers, exporters, customs brokers, freight forwarders, logistics service providers and industry groups) on 29th April 2025.
Trump’s Apparent Tariffs Backflip
Economic Policies, Globalization, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy | 10th April 2025Saul Eslake talks to ABC’s Hamish MacDonald about Donald Trump’s apparent tariffs backflip on 10th April 2025.
Trump’s Tariffs and China’s reaction
Economic Policies, Globalization, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 10th April 2025Saul Eslake talks to Turkish international channel TRT about US President Donald Trump’s tariffs, and their impact on global markets.
Tariffs, Global Economics, and the Future of Trade Policies
Economic Policies, Globalization, News, The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 8th April 2025Saul Eslake had a conversation with his [half-]sister Amanda Archibald about tariffs, global economics, and the future of trade policies.
Stocks bloodbath: Why investors no longer think Trump can make America great again
Economic Policies, News, The Global Economy | 7th April 2025Saul Eslake had an op-ed article about the sharp downturn in world stockmarkets prompted by US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies, published in the Sydney Daily Telegraph on 7th April.