SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Australian Society and Politics


You can’t think (or write, or speak) about an economy without also having a sense of the broader social and economic framework in which it operates. I try very hard to avoid partisan political commentary, but I do sometimes feel moved to write or talk about social or political developments.

Submission to the Productivity Commission’s Inquiry into The Worst Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century Thus Far (aka “the WA GST deal”).

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 5th January 2026

The Productivity Commission has been asked to inquire into what I’ve called The Worst (Australian) Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century Thus Far – namely, the Orwellianly-titled Treasury Laws Amendment (Making Sure Every State and Territory Gets Their Fair Share of GST) Act 2018, legislated by the Morrison Government (with the support of the […]


Inside the WA GST:
The Worst Public Policy of the 21st Century

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview | 4th November 2025

Saul Eslake talks to the host of ABC Radio National’s Breakfast program, Sally Sara, about the Western Australian Government’s campaign to defend what Saul calls “the Worst Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century Thus Far”, the undermining of the long-standing principles governing the distribution of revenue from the GST to the states and territories at the behest of Australia’s richest state, WA, at a cost to the Federal Budget of $60 billion over eleven years.


Revenue-raising and tax reform

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Taxation, The Australian Economy | 29th October 2025

Saul Eslake’s presentation to the Australia Institute’s “Revenue Summit” held at Parliament House, Canberra, on 29th October 2025


Albanese Government’s extension of the 5% deposit scheme

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 8th October 2025

Saul talks to Solstice Media’s 7am podcast, hosted by Daniel James, about the Albanese Government’s extension of the 5% deposit scheme for first home buyers, and why governments of all political persuasions continue to implement policies which serve only to make housing more expensive, despite their professed concerns for the difficulties faced by aspiring first-home buyers.


WA GST deal adds $6bn to federal budget deficit

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 3rd October 2025

The Australian also has a good article by Paul Garvey (who, it’s worth noting, is based in Perth) about the WA GST deal on 1st October 2025


Carving up the revenue from the GST – an in-depth discussion of ‘The Worst Australian Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century Thus Far’

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview | 2nd October 2025

I had a long conversation with the host of ABC Radio’s “Nightlife” program, Philip Clark, about the way in which the distribution of GST revenue among Australia’s states and territories has been perverted by the desire of Federal politicians (from both sides of the aisle) to win votes and seats from Australia’s richest state, Western […]


The Albanese Government’s expanded home deposit guarantee scheme

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, Recent Media Interview | 25th August 2025

Saul talks to ABC News Channel’s Cath Robinson about the Government’s expanded deposit guarantee scheme which will allow more first home buyers to purchase homes with deposits of as little as 5% of the purchase price, without needing to take out lenders’ mortgage insurance.


Another hung parliament solves nothing about Tasmania’s dire fiscal position

Australian Society and Politics, Tasmania | 21st July 2025

Op-ed published in the Australian Financial Review 0n 20th July 2025, about the outcome of the Tasmanian state election held the previous day.


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.



“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


Request Speaking Engagement


WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


Submission to the Productivity Commission’s Inquiry into The Worst Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century Thus Far (aka “the WA GST deal”).
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
5th January 2026


Bitcoin’s Rollercoaster: Tariffs, Margin Calls, and the Future of Crypto
Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy
25th November 2025


The Australian Economy in 2025-26: Presentation to Economics Teachers
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
24th November 2025


Tasmania’s “Interim” 2025-26 Budget – An Opportunity Missed to Start the Task of Budget Repair
Economic Policies, Tasmania
6th November 2025


Inside the WA GST:
The Worst Public Policy of the 21st Century

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview
4th November 2025


Tasmania’s Economy and Public Finances – a pre-Budget Update
Tasmania
4th November 2025


Global Megatrends, the Australian Economy and Residential Property Markets
Economic Policies, Globalization, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy
31st October 2025


Revenue-raising and tax reform
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Taxation, The Australian Economy
29th October 2025


Tasmania’s Productivity Challenge
Tasmania
28th October 2025


Do the Best Days for Australia’s Resources Sector Still Lie Ahead? – Presentation to AusIMM Congress
Commodities, The Australian Economy
17th October 2025


The Australian Economy and Housing Markets in 2025-26: Presentation to a Mortgage Brokers conference
Housing, The Australian Economy
16th October 2025


Recent Surge in the Gold Price
Commodities, News, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy
12th October 2025


Albanese Government’s extension of the 5% deposit scheme
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview
8th October 2025


US Economy, Australia & New Zealand Interest Rates
News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
6th October 2025


WA GST deal adds $6bn to federal budget deficit
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News
3rd October 2025


NEWS

TV, Radio & Print Media


Inside the WA GST:
The Worst Public Policy of the 21st Century

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview | 4th November 2025

Recent Surge in the Gold Price
Commodities, News, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy | 12th October 2025

Albanese Government’s extension of the 5% deposit scheme
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 8th October 2025

US Economy, Australia & New Zealand Interest Rates
News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 6th October 2025

WA GST deal adds $6bn to federal budget deficit
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 3rd October 2025

Carving up the revenue from the GST – an in-depth discussion of ‘The Worst Australian Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century Thus Far’
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview | 2nd October 2025

Is the United States about to step over a dangerous financial precipice?
Economic Policies, News, The Global Economy | 24th May 2025

Government’s proposal to increase the tax on superannuation
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, Taxation | 22nd May 2025

Victoria’s profligacy is a problem for all of us
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 20th May 2025

Labor should use its second victory as a platform for ambitious reform
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 5th May 2025

The two worrying trends revealed in Australia’s AAA warning
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 30th April 2025

Australia’s ‘housing crisis’ – and how (and why) both major political parties plan to make it worse
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 19th April 2025

Read more

VIDEO

Most Recent Multimedia


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


Australian Minister for Housing, the Hon. Clare O'Neill MP on ABC Q&A, September 2024

“We are lucky as a State to have an economist of your calibre willing to readily make yourself available to give us a clea r perception of where we are at and the direction we need to go for a better future”
Diplomatic Representative, August 2024

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

Read more

LINKS

Useful Links


Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics

Read more