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Do the Best Days for Australia’s Resources Sector Still Lie Ahead? – the 46th George Fisher Lecture
Commodities, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 21st August 2026It was an honour to have been invited to give the 46th Sir George Fisher Lecture to a dinner hosted by the North Queensland Branch of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy in Townsville on 21st August. Sir George Fisher was a giant of the Australian mining industry, in particular as General Manager of […]
GST Distribution: Western Australia vs Productivity Commission
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview | 18th August 2026Western Australia’s mining boom continues to deliver “rivers of gold,” but the Productivity Commission says the 2018 GST deal that funnels billions to WA is a costly mistake that should be scrapped. This video breaks down the political fight, the economics behind GST distribution, and why the Commission says the system is producing “perverse outcomes.”
Productivity Commission Report on GST Distribution
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview | 14th August 2026Saul Eslake explains why the Commission found the 2018 GST reforms inefficient, ineffective and not operating as intended, and why WA’s long‑running arguments about “lazy states” and “engine rooms of the economy” don’t align with the evidence.
This time, the Productivity Commission gets it right
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies | 14th August 2026The Productivity Commission’s Interim Report has delivered a blunt verdict on the 2018 GST distribution changes: they haven’t worked. The Commission finds the reforms have weakened fiscal equalization, created perverse outcomes, increased costs to the Commonwealth, added complexity, and disproportionately benefited Western Australia while offering no real stability for other states. It also debunks long‑standing myths about who “pays” GST and who “gets it back”. With three clear options on the table, the Federal Government now faces a major test of its commitment to equity and responsible budgeting — and both major parties must decide whether they will prioritise national fairness over political expediency.
Taiwan – the ‘biggest winner’ from the AI investment boom
Asian Economies | 25th July 2026A presentation Saul gave to colleagues in Independent Economics on 21st July about Taiwan’s economy.
Project Marinus – in Tasmania’s Interest, and Australia’s
News, Tasmania | 22nd June 2026A report setting out the case for Project Marinus, a proposed 750MW submarine cable connecting Tasmania and mainland Australia, and the associated North-West Transmission Developments project, commissioned by Clean Energy Tasmania, a sub-commitee of the Tasmanian Chamber of Commerce & Industry.
Opening Statement to Senate Economics Legislation Committee inquiry into proposed tax reforms
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Taxation | 15th June 2026Saul Eslake’s opening statement to the Senate Economics Legislation Committee’s public inquiry into the income tax reforms proposed by the Australian Government in the 2026-27 Federal Budget. Below that are some ‘supporting materials’ also provided to the Committee.
The World has Changed – Geo-political Pressures and What They Mean for Australian Manufacturing
Economic Policies, Globalization, Productivity, The Australian Economy | 10th June 2026Saul’s presentation to the National Manufacturing Workforce Forum, hosted by the Manufacturing Industry Skills Alliance, at the State Library of Victoria in Melbourne, on 10th June 2026.