SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Tasmania’s three Ps a logical place to start


News, Tasmania | 19th October 2016

Sean Ford | The Advocate | 19th October 2016

Preview of the Tasmania Report 2016, published in the Burnie (North-West Coast) Advocate newspaper, 19th October 2016

OPINION: Saul Eslake is on the case: Expect usefulness, SEAN FORD says.

It is heartening to know prominent economist Saul Eslake’s second Tasmania Report on the state economy will be released by mid-December.

His first, commissioned by the Tasmanian Chamber of Commerce and Industry and released in 2015, was a valuable document.

He said during the week he would again focus on population, productivity and participation as drivers of economic growth.

That is a sound approach.

We know population is a major challenge for Tasmania in terms of low population growth.

That equates to ever decreasing size and, frankly, importance relative to Australia as a whole.

The state’s population challenges are gaining a new and worrying dimension because Tasmanians are significantly older, on average, than other Australians, and the gap is widening.

The drain of Baby Boomers from the workforce is biting hard earlier here than in other states.

Productivity is important because productivity growth is the key factor in improving living standards over time.

Tasmania has relatively low productivity levels, partly because of the mix of jobs the state offers compared, particularly, to the big mainland capitals, and partly due to relatively weaker educational attainment, on average.

And participation in the labour market through being either employed or actively looking for work is crucial as a driver of economic growth and as a measure of the strength of an economy.

Tasmania’s participation rate is relatively low.

This year, Mr Eslake will pay significant attention to the effects of the ageing population, and suggest goals for the state based partly on the demographics of other islands.

It is not all doom and gloom, of course.

The tyranny of distance is much less these days, thanks to technology, and Tasmania has great export opportunities in agribusiness, seafood, mining, tourism, high-end manufacturing, services and education.

Also, our politicians recognise the importance of getting education right.

While there have been steps forward and steps backwards, successive governments have been making serious attempts to improve participation in education and outcomes.

There are also growing opportunities to “poach” professionals and creatives from the mainland and overseas – again, partly thanks to technology – and to lure back former Tasmanians.

None of this will just happen.

We need to be the best we can be and get much more right than we get wrong, at business, government and community levels.

We’re not actually the only mob in the world wanting a better future.

Mr Eslake’s report can be expected to lay down some useful markers along that road.

For all his qualities, Mr Eslake can only analyse, advise and make clear the issues and broad opportunities.

It will be up to the rest of us to make the good things happen.

We owe it, especially, to our children, their children and so on.

As TasCOSS chief executive Kym Goodes wrote in last year’s Tasmania Report: “It should no longer be business as usual in Tasmania.”

“TasCOSS wants to see a Tasmania where everyone can participate in the cultural and economic developments currently taking place and not be left behind.”

Worthy goals.

ECONOMIC CHART PACK


Beginning in June 2020, Saul began publishing the Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack, a weekly publication tracking the course of Covid-19 and its impact on economies around the world, including Australia and New Zealand. Starting at just under 60 pages, by the second half of 2021 it had grown to more than 150 pages.

From the beginning of this year, 2022, the Chart Pack has been replaced with three separate publications:

Each of these chart packs will continue to trace the impact of the virus (for as long as that’s relevant), economic data, developments in monetary and fiscal policy, trends in financial markets, and (where relevant) political developments. They will be accessible to subscribers of the Premium Access package.

The World Economy chart pack will have sections covering the global economy, and the economies of major regions – including the United States, Europe, China, Japan, other East Asian countries, India, Canada, Australia and New Zealand (very briefly), Latin America and Central & Eastern Europe.


"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way. So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


"A timely and comprehensive summary from one of Australia's best economists."

Adam Creighton, Economics Editor for The Australian


“I continue to find your thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


THE WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK
5th September 2022



This chart pack, published on Monday morning (Eastern Australian time) each week, portrays developments in the global economy and in the economies of major nations and regions – the United States, Europe, China, Japan, other East Asian economies, India, Canada, Australia & New Zealand*, Latin America and Central & Eastern Europe – with particular emphasis on:

  • the impact of Covid-19,
  • economic growth,
  • labour markets,
  • international trade and payments,
  • inflation,
  • fiscal and monetary policy,
  • bond, currency and stock markets, and
  • where relevant, political developments

The pack typically runs to 110-120 pages and includes more than 570 individual charts as well as tables and text.

* for more detailed coverage of Australia and New Zealand please see The Australian Economy this Week and The New Zealand Economy this Month, respectively.

THE WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK 2022-09-05

THE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY THIS WEEK
2nd September 2022



This chart pack, published on Friday evening (Eastern Australian time) each week, portrays developments in the Australian economy, with particular emphasis on:

  • the impact of Covid-19,
  • broad indicators of economic growth,
  • conditions in the business sector
  • the household sector, and consumer spending
  • housing finance and construction. and the residential property market
  • the labour market
  • commodity prices, trade and the balance of payments
  • inflation,
  • fiscal and monetary policy,
  • Australian financial markets

Closer to this year’s federal elections – which have to be held no later than 29th May – we will include some pages on political developments as well.

The pack typically runs to 80-90 pages and includes some 280 charts.

For coverage of the global economy, please see The World Economy this Week

THE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY THIS WEEK 2022-09-02

EVENTS

Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


online events @ saul-eslake.com



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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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