SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

News


TV, Radio and Print Media

Other central banks are cutting rates, why isnt the RBA?

Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 13th June 2024

Saul spoke with ABC Radio Sydney’s “Mornings” Presenter Hamish MacDonald about why the Reserve Bank is unlikely to follow the Bank of Canada or the European Central Bank in cutting interest rates any time soon, and also about the possible consequences of Australia ‘walking away’ from the emissions reduction targets to which it committed under the Paris Climate Accords.


Interest Rate and Inflation – Where to now?

Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 8th June 2024

Saul Eslake’s podcast of a wide-ranging discussion about inflation, interest rates and other economic topics with Ben Law, the “Financial Bloke” and host of The Agri Coach “Wealth and Wisdom podcast”. This discussion was published on 8th June but recorded on 11th April – so it predates the most recent Federal Budget, the latest unemployment figures from Australia and the US (both of which now have a 4 handle on them, and the interest rate cuts from the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank in the first week of June.


Upcoming Federal Budget with Laura Jayes

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 13th May 2024

I was interviewed by Sky News Australia’s Laura Jayes about the upcoming 2024-25 Federal Budget and its potential impact (upwards and donwnwards) in inflation, and about the perversion of the system for distributing revenue from Australia’s GST to the states and territories at the behest of Australia’s richest state, Western Australia. The interview can be […]


Preview of the 2024-25 Federal Budget

Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 11th May 2024

Fellow independent economist Nikki Hutley and I were interviewed by the ABC’s Fran Kelly for her Saturday Extra program on 11th May about expectations for the 2024-25 Federal Budget to be presented by Treasurer Jim Chalmers on the evening of Tuesday 14th May. Here’s a link to a recording of the segment: https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/saturdayextra/budget-panel/103832416


The implications of Australia’s higher-than-expected March quarter inflation numbers

News, The Australian Economy | 25th April 2024

Along with my former ANZ colleague Cherelle Murphy (who’s now Chief Economist at EY in Australia) I appeared on ABC Radio National’s Breakfast Program (hosted by Patricia Karevelas) to discuss the implications of the higher-than-expected inflation readings for the March quarter on the outlook for interest rates and the upcoming Federal Budget. https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/radionational-breakfast/what-do-the-latest-inflation-numbers-mean-/103765828


The next four years will be difficult for Tasmania

News, Tasmania | 27th March 2024

Op-ed in the Hobart Mercury newspaper, 27th March 2024 The Liberals were the biggest losers in Saturday’s election, as indicated by the 12 percentage point swing against them. But they still emerged with the largest number of seats, and provided they can persuade the two left-leaning independents and the Jacqui Lambie Network’s members (whoever they […]


The prospects for RBA’s cash rate reductions in the second half of 2024

News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 2nd January 2024

Saul Eslake talks to Sky News’ Kenny Heatley on 2nd January 2024 about the prospects for RBA’s cash rate reductions in the second half of 2024.


The Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO)

Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 13th December 2023

Interview with Melbourne Radio station 3AW’s Heidi Murphy about the Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO) presented by Treasurer Jim Chalmers on Wednesday 13th December Economist provides rundown on the budget update and the ‘surprising’ passport increase (3aw.com.au)