‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’


Here you can find articles or essays which I have written and which have been published elsewhere

Protracted border closures are a new form of ‘protectionism’

Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy | 30th May 2021

Op-ed article published in The Australian Financial Review of 31st May (and available online online here) making the case that although the continued closure of Australia’s international borders is providing unheralded benefits to Australia’s economy (boosting spending and accelerating the decline in unemployment), much like the old forms of ‘protectionism’ in which we indulged for […]

Don’t believe what lightweights tell you about Josh Frydenberg’s spending spree

Economic Policies, News, Publications | 19th May 2021

Sydney Morning Herald Economics Editor Ross Gittins’ write-up of my analysis of the 2021-22 Budget

Our closed borders have turbo-charged the economy’s recovery

Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 7th May 2021

An article in the Sydney Morning Herald and Melbourne Age newspapers on 8th May 2021 by Economics Editor Ross Gittins about the under-recognized stimulatory impact of Australia’s border closures in response to Covid-19, which draws extensively on my Financial Review op-ed of 8th April

Lessons for Libs in Gutwein’s triumph

Publications, Tasmania | 2nd May 2021

Op-Ed piece in the Australian Financial ReviewAustralian Financial Review with my take on Saturday 2nd May 2021’s Tasmanian election outcome

The right and proper thing to do | Inside Story

Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy | 30th April 2021

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg makes the ‘right call’ on fiscal policy, 12 days out from the 2021-22 Federal Budget

Australia and Korea: the ‘odd couple’

Asian Economies, News, Publications | 21st April 2021

I’m quoted in the Singapore Straits Times and Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post talking about the different reasons why Australia’s and Korea’s economies were the only ones to avoid recession during the financial crisis of 12 years ago, and why they have recovered strongly from the Covid-19 induced recession  

Longer term prospects for Tasmanian economy

Publications, Tasmania | 18th April 2021

Saul comments on Deloitte Access Economics’ latest five-year forecasts for Tasmania’s economy and the need for ‘structural reforms’ to ‘bake in longer-term prosperity’. Tasmania’s economy has done well in the pandemic, but the future is looking shaky, experts warn – ABC News, Alexandra Humphries, 18th April 2021

Saul’s take on Tasmania’s Pre-Election Economic and Fiscal Update

Publications, Tasmania | 16th April 2021

Saul’s take on Tasmania’s Pre-Election Economic and Fiscal Update released by Tasmanian Treasury on 14th April 2021, as reported by the Burnie Advocate’s Sean Ford


Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness

Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.

“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast

“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia

“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies

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Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations

Have we passed ‘peak China’? (and might a big fall in the RMB be on the horizon?)
Asian Economies, The Global Economy
11th July 2024

‘The Big Picture’
Asian Economies, Economic Policies, Economic Video, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy
22nd June 2024

ATO’s Latest Taxation Statistics – June 2024
News, Recent Media Interview, Taxation
20th June 2024

Other central banks are cutting rates, why isnt the RBA?
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
13th June 2024

Interest Rate and Inflation – Where to now?
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
8th June 2024

The pros and cons of cutting immigration
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
7th June 2024

A post-Budget conversation
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
16th May 2024

The 2024-25 Australian Government Budget – An Assessment
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
15th May 2024

Upcoming Federal Budget with Laura Jayes
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy
13th May 2024

Preview of the 2024-25 Federal Budget
Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy
11th May 2024

The WA GST deal – the worst public policy decision of the 21st century thus far – Address to the National Press Club
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies
8th May 2024

The implications of Australia’s higher-than-expected March quarter inflation numbers
News, The Australian Economy
25th April 2024

‘A distinctive part of life in Australia’ The Declining Dream of Homeownership
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing
17th April 2024

Could China have a currency crisis at some point in the next 2-5 years?
Asian Economies, The Global Economy, Topics
16th April 2024


Recent Presentations

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What Others Say

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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