‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Asian Economies

Asia accounts for 52% of the world’s population and (as of 2016) 39% of the world’s GDP. By the end of the decade Asia will account for 42% of the world’s GDP. Asia takes almost three-quarters of Australia’s exports of goods and services and supplies more than half of Australia’s imports. You simply can’t understand Australia’s long-term economic prospects without a good understanding of what’s happening in the major Asian economies.

A few quick thoughts about China

Asian Economies | 19th October 2021

A short presentation to my colleagues in Llewellyn Consulting about the factors shaping China’s longer-run growth performance and prospects on 20th October 2021

Talk to the annual Australia-Indonesia Business Summit

Asian Economies, Economic Video | 18th October 2021

A short talk to the annual Australia-Indonesia Business Summit on 19th October 2021, jointly hosted by the Indonesia Investment Promotion Centre in Sydney and the Australia-Indonesia Business Council, about the improving investment climate in Indonesia, especially for those interested in the health and aged care sectors (which were the focus of this year’s summit)

Papua New Guinea in the Post-Covid World Economy

Asian Economies, The Global Economy | 7th September 2021

Presentation to the 2021 Papua New Guinea Investment Conference, 7th September 2021

Peripheral Asia

Asian Economies | 7th July 2021

My presentation to the annual meeting of the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE), held ‘virtually’ (again) this year. It covers all of Asia (except for China and Japan), and including Australia and New Zealand

Australia and Korea: the ‘odd couple’

Asian Economies, News, Publications | 21st April 2021

I’m quoted in the Singapore Straits Times and Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post talking about the different reasons why Australia’s and Korea’s economies were the only ones to avoid recession during the financial crisis of 12 years ago, and why they have recovered strongly from the Covid-19 induced recession  

China’s Economy

Asian Economies, The Global Economy | 10th March 2021

China’s was the only major economy to record positive growth in 2020. In this talk Saul will discuss the sustainability of the recovery that’s been under way since the second quarter of 2020, the medium-term risks associated with China’s high debt levels, banking system and exchange rate regime.  He will also talk about prospects for […]

Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Australian Economies – September 2020

Asian Economies, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 7th September 2020

Online presentation slides: the Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Australian Economies 7th September 2020  

How vulnerable is China?

Asian Economies | 2nd August 2020

An article based on my response to a question from a client asking what I thought of an article predicting the imminent demise of “the Chinese model”


Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness

Saul Eslake online presentation

“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast

“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia

“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies

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Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations

‘A distinctive part of life in Australia’ The Declining Dream of Homeownership
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing
17th April 2024

Could China have a currency crisis at some point in the next 2-5 years?
Asian Economies, The Global Economy, Topics
16th April 2024

“The Great Housing Disaster – Who’s to Blame?”
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, Recent Media Interview, Topics
15th April 2024

The Economic Consequences of Surges in Immigration
Australian Society and Politics, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy, Topics
10th April 2024

Is China heading for some kind of currency or financial crisis?
Asian Economies, The Global Economy
4th April 2024

The next four years will be difficult for Tasmania
News, Tasmania
27th March 2024

Some initial reflections on the outcome of the 2024 Tasmanian State election
Australian Society and Politics, Tasmania
24th March 2024

Tasmania’s fiscal position
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
24th March 2024

Productivity, Tax Reform and ‘Peak China’
Asian Economies, Economic Policies, Productivity, Taxation, The Australian Economy
13th March 2024

Tasmania – lost opportunities
12th March 2024

The Tasmanian Economy
29th February 2024

The worst public policy decision of the 21st Century
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
20th February 2024

Is ‘price gouging’ a major contributor to inflation?
Recent Media Interview
19th February 2024

The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Andy Park)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024

The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Gary Adshead)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


Recent Presentations

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What Others Say

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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