SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

  • Economist

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Housing

Housing is one of the most important things in people’s lives, whether they own the dwelling in which they live, or rent it – and if they own other property as an investment. And as we saw in the lead-up to, and during, the global financial crisis, what happens in housing markets can be enormously important to the stability of the financial system, and to the health or otherwise of the economy.

Housing Affordability 2030

 Housing | 24th October 2017

‘Mini-note’ presentation to the Australian Council of Social Service (ACOSS) national conference in Melbourne on 24th October 2017


What would happen if there were to be a housing ‘bust’?

 Housing, News | 6th June 2017

Jessica Haynes | ABC News | 6th June 2017 I’m not forecasting a ‘housing bust’, but in this interview with Jessica Haynes of ABC Online, published on 6th June 2017, I look at what might happen if there were to be one.


The 2017-18 Budget and Australian housing markets

 Housing | 1st June 2017

Presentation to the Future of Australian Housing conference hosted by Q Shelter, the Brisbane Development Association, and Future Housing Task Force, in Brisbane on 1st June 2017


Australian housing prices: are they sustainable?

 Housing | 24th May 2017

Presentation to a teleconference hosted by View from the Peak, an independent investment research provider based in Hong Kong, on 24th May 2017


Housing in the 2017-18 Budget – a missed opportunity

 Housing, Publications | 19th May 2017

Saul Eslake | Pearls and Irritations | 19th May 2017 As published on John Menadue’s Blog – Pearls and Irritations. John Menadue is a former head of the Departments of Immigration, Trade and Prime Minister & Cabinet, and also a former CEO of Qantas.


Home ownership and housing affordability

 Housing, Publications | 2nd May 2017

Article published on Pearls and Irritations, a blog specializing in public policy issues curated by John Menadue, former Secretary of the Departments of Prime Minister & Cabinet, Immigration & Ethnic Affairs, and Trade, Ambassador to Japan and CEO of Qantas.


Using super for home deposit a ‘thoroughly bad idea’: Economist Saul Eslake

 Housing, News, Taxation | 11th April 2017

James-Elton Pym | SBS News | 11th April 2017 Letting young people dip into their superannuation to fund house deposits would increase buying power and drive house prices higher, the independent economist has warned. Independent economist Saul Eslake says Liberal backbenchers advocating a plan to allow young people to use their superannuation as a home […]


Negative gearing reform ‘essential’ to improve housing affordability: Saul Eslake

 Housing, News, Taxation | 10th April 2017

Michael Janda |RN Breakfast ABC News | 10th April 2017 Interview with ABC Business Reporter Michael Janda on Monday 10th April 2017 Negative gearing reform ‘essential’ to improve housing affordability: Saul Eslake Scaling back negative gearing or capital gains tax concessions for property investment is “essential” to improve housing affordability for first home buyers, independent […]


PREMIUM ACCESS

Subscribe to Saul's Weekly Chart Pack, Online Event, most recent articles, presentation slides and other materials


The World Economy this Week
The Australian Economy this Week

ECONOMIC CHART PACK


Beginning in June 2020, Saul began publishing the Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack, a weekly publication tracking the course of Covid-19 and its impact on economies around the world, including Australia and New Zealand. Starting at just under 60 pages, by the second half of 2021 it had grown to more than 150 pages.

From the beginning of this year, 2022, the Chart Pack has been replaced with three separate publications:

Each of these chart packs will continue to trace the impact of the virus (for as long as that’s relevant), economic data, developments in monetary and fiscal policy, trends in financial markets, and (where relevant) political developments. They will be accessible to subscribers of the Premium Access package.

The World Economy chart pack will have sections covering the global economy, and the economies of major regions – including the United States, Europe, China, Japan, other East Asian countries, India, Canada, Australia and New Zealand (very briefly), Latin America and Central & Eastern Europe.


"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way. So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


"A timely and comprehensive summary from one of Australia's best economists."

Adam Creighton, Economics Editor for The Australian


“I continue to find your thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


THE WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK
5th September 2022

This chart pack, published on Monday morning (Eastern Australian time) each week, portrays developments in the global economy and in the economies of major nations and regions – the United States, Europe, China, Japan, other East Asian economies, India, Canada, Australia & New Zealand*, Latin America and Central & Eastern Europe – with particular emphasis on:

  • the impact of Covid-19,
  • economic growth,
  • labour markets,
  • international trade and payments,
  • inflation,
  • fiscal and monetary policy,
  • bond, currency and stock markets, and
  • where relevant, political developments

The pack typically runs to 110-120 pages and includes more than 570 individual charts as well as tables and text.

* for more detailed coverage of Australia and New Zealand please see The Australian Economy this Week and The New Zealand Economy this Month, respectively.

THE WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK 2022-09-05

THE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY THIS WEEK
2nd September 2022

This chart pack, published on Friday evening (Eastern Australian time) each week, portrays developments in the Australian economy, with particular emphasis on:

  • the impact of Covid-19,
  • broad indicators of economic growth,
  • conditions in the business sector
  • the household sector, and consumer spending
  • housing finance and construction. and the residential property market
  • the labour market
  • commodity prices, trade and the balance of payments
  • inflation,
  • fiscal and monetary policy,
  • Australian financial markets

Closer to this year’s federal elections – which have to be held no later than 29th May – we will include some pages on political developments as well.

The pack typically runs to 80-90 pages and includes some 280 charts.

For coverage of the global economy, please see The World Economy this Week

THE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY THIS WEEK 2022-09-02

EVENTS

Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


online events @ saul-eslake.com


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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations

The World Economy this Week 2022-09-05

 The World Economy This Week | 5th September 2022

The Australian Economy this Week 2022-09-02

 The Australian Economy This Week | 2nd September 2022

Towards a Healthy Housing System and Why Social Housing isn’t Enough on its Own
Housing
17th August 2022

Papua New Guinea in the World Economy
The Global Economy
15th August 2022

Some Reflections on Inflation, Economic Growth and on Monetary and Fiscal Policy
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
11th August 2022

The Risk of Recession
Economic Video, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
10th August 2022

Managing the Budget
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Economic Video, The Australian Economy
9th August 2022

Treasurer’s Ministerial Statement on the Economy
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
31st July 2022

June quarter inflation figures
News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
28th July 2022

Consumer prices surge to 21-year high
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
27th July 2022

Critics call for World Trade Organization reform
Globalization, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy
27th July 2022

The Australian Economy – What’s in Store?
The Australian Economy
20th July 2022

The risks of recessions in Europe, the US and Australia
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy
13th July 2022

RBA raised rate for the third time
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
6th July 2022

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VIDEO

Recent Presentations

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TOPICS

Articles, Talks and Presentations

The Arts
Asian Economies
The Australian Economy
Australian Society and Politics
Commodities
Economic Policies
Economics and Economists
Education
The Global Economy
Globalization
Housing
Labour Market
Productivity
Security
Tasmania
Taxation

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PUBLICATIONS

Here you can find articles or essays which I have written and which have been published elsewhere

A new dawn over stormy seas
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy | 23rd May 2022

Who are the ‘better managers’ of Australia’s economy?
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy | 21st April 2022

The costs and consequences of ‘small business fetishism’
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Publications, Taxation, The Australian Economy | 10th December 2021

A chat with Alan Kohler
Economic Video, Publications | 19th October 2021

Old wine in new bottles: more ‘rent-seeking’ from South Australian manufacturing interests
Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy | 17th September 2021

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NEWS

TV, Radio & Print Media

The Risk of Recession
Economic Video, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 10th August 2022

Treasurer’s Ministerial Statement on the Economy
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 31st July 2022

June quarter inflation figures
News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 28th July 2022

Consumer prices surge to 21-year high
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 27th July 2022

The risks of recessions in Europe, the US and Australia
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 13th July 2022

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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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LINKS

Useful Links

Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics

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