SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Global Economy


Australia may be an island continent, but it is no more immune to global economic influences than are other countries which share physical borders with their nearest neighbours. Australia is very much exposed to global swings in commodity prices, and to fluctuations in major advanced economies and (increasingly) to business cycles in key emerging economies such as China. Australia’s financial markets are increasingly integrated with the their global counterparts. And Australian economic policy-makers cannot ignore changes in monetary, fiscal and other economic policy settings in the world’s major economies. Hence, an awareness of trends in the global economy is an essential element of understanding Australian economic conditions.

The World Today – a Global Macro-economic Perspective

The Global Economy | 15th September 2016

Presentation To HL Morrison & Co Infrastructure Conference 2016, Millbrook Resort, Queenstown, New Zealand – 15th September 2016


The New World of Economic Disruptors – from Brexit to Trump

The Global Economy | 16th August 2016

Presentation to First Samuel Limited’s annual Client Forum, Melbourne, 16th August 2016


Is the World Economy Facing ‘Secular Stagnation’?

The Global Economy | 16th June 2014

Paper presented to the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE), Oslo, Norway, 16th June 2014


Germany’s economic and political generals are fighting the wrong war

Publications, The Global Economy | 25th November 2011

Op-ed article published in the Melbourne Age and Sydney Morning Herald newspapers, 25th November 2011


Europeans and Americans don’t run the world economy any more, and shouldn’t automatically run the IMF

Publications, The Global Economy | 24th May 2011

Op-ed article published in the Melbourne Age and Sydney Morning Herald newspapers, 24th May 2011


Is the US Dollar in Danger of Losing its Reserve Currency Status?

The Global Economy | 3rd July 2009

Presentation to the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE) in Munich, Germany, 3rd July 2009


The difference between a recession and a depression

The Global Economy | 23rd November 2008

An essay which began as an answer to a question put to me by my then boss, “what’s the difference between a recession and a depression”, during the darkest period of the Global Financial Crisis, and which was subsequently picked up by The Economist.


The Emergence of Oil Producers as Net International Creditors – Possible Implications for the Global Financial System.

The Global Economy | 22nd June 2006

Paper presented to the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE), Milan, Italy, 22nd June 2006


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.



“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


Request Speaking Engagement


WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


Bitcoin’s Rollercoaster: Tariffs, Margin Calls, and the Future of Crypto
Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy
25th November 2025


The Australian Economy in 2025-26: Presentation to Economics Teachers
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
24th November 2025


Tasmania’s “Interim” 2025-26 Budget – An Opportunity Missed to Start the Task of Budget Repair
Economic Policies, Tasmania
6th November 2025


Inside the WA GST:
The Worst Public Policy of the 21st Century

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview
4th November 2025


Tasmania’s Economy and Public Finances – a pre-Budget Update
Tasmania
4th November 2025


Global Megatrends, the Australian Economy and Residential Property Markets
Economic Policies, Globalization, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy
31st October 2025


Revenue-raising and tax reform
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Taxation, The Australian Economy
29th October 2025


Tasmania’s Productivity Challenge
Tasmania
28th October 2025


Do the Best Days for Australia’s Resources Sector Still Lie Ahead? – Presentation to AusIMM Congress
Commodities, The Australian Economy
17th October 2025


The Australian Economy and Housing Markets in 2025-26: Presentation to a Mortgage Brokers conference
Housing, The Australian Economy
16th October 2025


Recent Surge in the Gold Price
Commodities, News, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy
12th October 2025


Albanese Government’s extension of the 5% deposit scheme
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview
8th October 2025


US Economy, Australia & New Zealand Interest Rates
News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
6th October 2025


WA GST deal adds $6bn to federal budget deficit
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News
3rd October 2025


Carving up the revenue from the GST – an in-depth discussion of ‘The Worst Australian Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century Thus Far’
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview
2nd October 2025


NEWS

TV, Radio & Print Media


Inside the WA GST:
The Worst Public Policy of the 21st Century

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview | 4th November 2025

Recent Surge in the Gold Price
Commodities, News, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy | 12th October 2025

Albanese Government’s extension of the 5% deposit scheme
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 8th October 2025

US Economy, Australia & New Zealand Interest Rates
News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 6th October 2025

WA GST deal adds $6bn to federal budget deficit
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 3rd October 2025

Carving up the revenue from the GST – an in-depth discussion of ‘The Worst Australian Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century Thus Far’
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview | 2nd October 2025

Is the United States about to step over a dangerous financial precipice?
Economic Policies, News, The Global Economy | 24th May 2025

Government’s proposal to increase the tax on superannuation
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, Taxation | 22nd May 2025

Victoria’s profligacy is a problem for all of us
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 20th May 2025

Labor should use its second victory as a platform for ambitious reform
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 5th May 2025

The two worrying trends revealed in Australia’s AAA warning
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 30th April 2025

Australia’s ‘housing crisis’ – and how (and why) both major political parties plan to make it worse
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 19th April 2025

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VIDEO

Most Recent Multimedia


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


Australian Minister for Housing, the Hon. Clare O'Neill MP on ABC Q&A, September 2024

“We are lucky as a State to have an economist of your calibre willing to readily make yourself available to give us a clea r perception of where we are at and the direction we need to go for a better future”
Diplomatic Representative, August 2024

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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LINKS

Useful Links


Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics

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