SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Global Economy


Australia may be an island continent, but it is no more immune to global economic influences than are other countries which share physical borders with their nearest neighbours. Australia is very much exposed to global swings in commodity prices, and to fluctuations in major advanced economies and (increasingly) to business cycles in key emerging economies such as China. Australia’s financial markets are increasingly integrated with the their global counterparts. And Australian economic policy-makers cannot ignore changes in monetary, fiscal and other economic policy settings in the world’s major economies. Hence, an awareness of trends in the global economy is an essential element of understanding Australian economic conditions.

The World Today – a Global Macro-economic Perspective

The Global Economy | 15th September 2016

Presentation To HL Morrison & Co Infrastructure Conference 2016, Millbrook Resort, Queenstown, New Zealand – 15th September 2016


The New World of Economic Disruptors – from Brexit to Trump

The Global Economy | 16th August 2016

Presentation to First Samuel Limited’s annual Client Forum, Melbourne, 16th August 2016


Is the World Economy Facing ‘Secular Stagnation’?

The Global Economy | 16th June 2014

Paper presented to the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE), Oslo, Norway, 16th June 2014


Germany’s economic and political generals are fighting the wrong war

Publications, The Global Economy | 25th November 2011

Op-ed article published in the Melbourne Age and Sydney Morning Herald newspapers, 25th November 2011


Europeans and Americans don’t run the world economy any more, and shouldn’t automatically run the IMF

Publications, The Global Economy | 24th May 2011

Op-ed article published in the Melbourne Age and Sydney Morning Herald newspapers, 24th May 2011


Is the US Dollar in Danger of Losing its Reserve Currency Status?

The Global Economy | 3rd July 2009

Presentation to the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE) in Munich, Germany, 3rd July 2009


The difference between a recession and a depression

The Global Economy | 23rd November 2008

An essay which began as an answer to a question put to me by my then boss, “what’s the difference between a recession and a depression”, during the darkest period of the Global Financial Crisis, and which was subsequently picked up by The Economist.


The Emergence of Oil Producers as Net International Creditors – Possible Implications for the Global Financial System.

The Global Economy | 22nd June 2006

Paper presented to the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE), Milan, Italy, 22nd June 2006


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“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


A post-Budget conversation
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
16th May 2024


The 2024-25 Australian Government Budget – An Assessment
Topics
15th May 2024



Australian Federal Budget, Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
13th May 2024


Preview of the 2024-25 Federal Budget
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
11th May 2024


The WA GST deal – the worst public policy decision of the 21st century thus far – Address to the National Press Club
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies
8th May 2024


The implications of Australia’s higher-than-expected March quarter inflation numbers
News, The Australian Economy
25th April 2024


‘A distinctive part of life in Australia’ The Declining Dream of Homeownership
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing
17th April 2024


Could China have a currency crisis at some point in the next 2-5 years?
Asian Economies, The Global Economy, Topics
16th April 2024


“The Great Housing Disaster – Who’s to Blame?”
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, Recent Media Interview, Topics
15th April 2024


The Economic Consequences of Surges in Immigration
Australian Society and Politics, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy, Topics
10th April 2024


Is China heading for some kind of currency or financial crisis?
Asian Economies, The Global Economy
4th April 2024


The next four years will be difficult for Tasmania
News, Tasmania
27th March 2024


Some initial reflections on the outcome of the 2024 Tasmanian State election
Australian Society and Politics, Tasmania
24th March 2024


Tasmania’s fiscal position
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
24th March 2024


Productivity, Tax Reform and ‘Peak China’
Asian Economies, Economic Policies, Productivity, Taxation, The Australian Economy
13th March 2024


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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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