SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Global Economy


Australia may be an island continent, but it is no more immune to global economic influences than are other countries which share physical borders with their nearest neighbours. Australia is very much exposed to global swings in commodity prices, and to fluctuations in major advanced economies and (increasingly) to business cycles in key emerging economies such as China. Australia’s financial markets are increasingly integrated with the their global counterparts. And Australian economic policy-makers cannot ignore changes in monetary, fiscal and other economic policy settings in the world’s major economies. Hence, an awareness of trends in the global economy is an essential element of understanding Australian economic conditions.

Key issues for the global and Australian economies in 2017

The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 7th February 2017

Presentation to the International CEO Forum – Melbourne, 7th February 2017


Ten Things to Watch in 2017

Publications, The Global Economy | 24th January 2017

Ten things that could move global or Australian financial markets in 2017 – originally written for Jamieson Coote Bonds (of whose advisory board I’m a member), and also published on Livewire.


Market reaction to Donald Trump’s apparent victory in US Presidential election

The Global Economy | 9th November 2016

Saul Eslake | The Conversation | 9th November 2016 An assessment published on The Conversation, 9th November 2016. Donald Trump has emerged as the winner in the US Presidential election, but even before the result was clear the prospect came as a profound shock to financial markets. As I wrote last month, financial markets had […]


The Economic Consequences of Mr Trump Presentation

The Global Economy | 2nd November 2016

Presentation to a ‘Lighthouse Leadership Series’ luncheon hosted by the Western Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry in Perth, WA, on 2nd November 2016. The title is an intentional allusion to a series of articles by John Maynard Keynes which appeared in the London Evening Standard in July 1925, discussing the consequences of Churchill’s decision […]


The World Today – a Global Macro-economic Perspective

The Global Economy | 15th September 2016

Presentation To HL Morrison & Co Infrastructure Conference 2016, Millbrook Resort, Queenstown, New Zealand – 15th September 2016


The New World of Economic Disruptors – from Brexit to Trump

The Global Economy | 16th August 2016

Presentation to First Samuel Limited’s annual Client Forum, Melbourne, 16th August 2016


Is the World Economy Facing ‘Secular Stagnation’?

The Global Economy | 16th June 2014

Paper presented to the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE), Oslo, Norway, 16th June 2014


Germany’s economic and political generals are fighting the wrong war

Publications, The Global Economy | 25th November 2011

Op-ed article published in the Melbourne Age and Sydney Morning Herald newspapers, 25th November 2011


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.



“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


Request Speaking Engagement

VIDEO

Most Recent Multimedia


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


Australian Minister for Housing, the Hon. Clare O'Neill MP on ABC Q&A, September 2024

“We are lucky as a State to have an economist of your calibre willing to readily make yourself available to give us a clea r perception of where we are at and the direction we need to go for a better future”
Diplomatic Representative, August 2024

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

Read more


WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


Tasmania’s Public Finances
& the Independent Review of Tasmania’s State Finances (Aug, 2024)

Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
14th February 2025


Interest Rate Outlook 2025
Economic Video, The Australian Economy
12th February 2025


The Economic Consequences of Mr Trump
Economic Policies, The Global Economy
29th January 2025


Widening the Gap – An Intergenerational Lens on Wealth Inequality in Australia
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, The Australian Economy
12th December 2024


How Victoria became one of Australia’s ‘poor states’
Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy
25th November 2024


Elections and economies – the US and Australia
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy
23rd November 2024


Opening Statement to Senate Select Committee on the Tasmanian Freight Equalization Scheme
Economic Policies, Tasmania
13th November 2024


“Hiding in Plain Sight” – $180 billion of spending over four years.
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy, Topics
11th November 2024


‘Tasmanian Money Matters’ – Tasmania’s Economy and Public Finances
Economic Policies, Tasmania
3rd October 2024


Challenges and Opportunities for Australian Agriculture
Commodities, The Australian Economy
1st October 2024


Negative Gearing
Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview, Taxation
26th September 2024


Will Anthony Albanese succeed where Bill Shorten failed in making changes to the taxation treatment of property investment?
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, Taxation
26th September 2024


‘Super for housing’ is a souped-up first home owners grants scheme – and it won’t help any more than first home owners grants have
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing
24th September 2024


LINKS

Useful Links


Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics

Read more