SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Global Economy


Australia may be an island continent, but it is no more immune to global economic influences than are other countries which share physical borders with their nearest neighbours. Australia is very much exposed to global swings in commodity prices, and to fluctuations in major advanced economies and (increasingly) to business cycles in key emerging economies such as China. Australia’s financial markets are increasingly integrated with the their global counterparts. And Australian economic policy-makers cannot ignore changes in monetary, fiscal and other economic policy settings in the world’s major economies. Hence, an awareness of trends in the global economy is an essential element of understanding Australian economic conditions.

Population, participation and productivity: How to think about long-run economic growth

Productivity, The Global Economy | 5th July 2017

Presentation to the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE), Paris, 4-6th July 2017


Global Inequality and Australia’s Role

The Global Economy | 29th May 2017

Presentation to a reception for Oxfam Australia hosted by the Governor of Tasmania, Her Excellency the Hon. Professor Kate Warner, AC, at Government House, Hobart, on 29th May 2017


100 Days of Trump

The Global Economy | 16th May 2017

Panel Discussion | Institute for the Studies of Social Change, University of Tasmania | 16th May 2017 Implications for the United States, world affairs and the future of democracy. Saul joined former South Australian Senator and Leader of the Australian Democrats Natasha Stott Despoja, Brendan O’Connor from the US Studies Centre at the University of […]


Outlook for the World Economy and its Implications for Australia

The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 4th April 2017

Presentation to FactSet Investment Processing Symposium, Sydney, 4th April 2017


Key issues for the global and Australian economies in 2017

The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 7th February 2017

Presentation to the International CEO Forum – Melbourne, 7th February 2017


Ten Things to Watch in 2017

Publications, The Global Economy | 24th January 2017

Ten things that could move global or Australian financial markets in 2017 – originally written for Jamieson Coote Bonds (of whose advisory board I’m a member), and also published on Livewire.


Market reaction to Donald Trump’s apparent victory in US Presidential election

The Global Economy | 9th November 2016

Saul Eslake | The Conversation | 9th November 2016 An assessment published on The Conversation, 9th November 2016. Donald Trump has emerged as the winner in the US Presidential election, but even before the result was clear the prospect came as a profound shock to financial markets. As I wrote last month, financial markets had […]


The Economic Consequences of Mr Trump Presentation

The Global Economy | 2nd November 2016

Presentation to a ‘Lighthouse Leadership Series’ luncheon hosted by the Western Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry in Perth, WA, on 2nd November 2016. The title is an intentional allusion to a series of articles by John Maynard Keynes which appeared in the London Evening Standard in July 1925, discussing the consequences of Churchill’s decision […]


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Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


A post-Budget conversation
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
16th May 2024


The 2024-25 Australian Government Budget – An Assessment
Topics
15th May 2024



Australian Federal Budget, Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
13th May 2024


Preview of the 2024-25 Federal Budget
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
11th May 2024


The WA GST deal – the worst public policy decision of the 21st century thus far – Address to the National Press Club
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies
8th May 2024


The implications of Australia’s higher-than-expected March quarter inflation numbers
News, The Australian Economy
25th April 2024


‘A distinctive part of life in Australia’ The Declining Dream of Homeownership
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing
17th April 2024


Could China have a currency crisis at some point in the next 2-5 years?
Asian Economies, The Global Economy, Topics
16th April 2024


“The Great Housing Disaster – Who’s to Blame?”
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, Recent Media Interview, Topics
15th April 2024


The Economic Consequences of Surges in Immigration
Australian Society and Politics, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy, Topics
10th April 2024


Is China heading for some kind of currency or financial crisis?
Asian Economies, The Global Economy
4th April 2024


The next four years will be difficult for Tasmania
News, Tasmania
27th March 2024


Some initial reflections on the outcome of the 2024 Tasmanian State election
Australian Society and Politics, Tasmania
24th March 2024


Tasmania’s fiscal position
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
24th March 2024


Productivity, Tax Reform and ‘Peak China’
Asian Economies, Economic Policies, Productivity, Taxation, The Australian Economy
13th March 2024


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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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