SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Australian Society and Politics


You can’t think (or write, or speak) about an economy without also having a sense of the broader social and economic framework in which it operates. I try very hard to avoid partisan political commentary, but I do sometimes feel moved to write or talk about social or political developments.

Is Australia having a Second Recession?

Australian Society and Politics, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 16th August 2021

A recession is commonly defined as two or more quarters of negative growth in real GDP. But that’s a silly rule – and it isn’t used in the US, where the body which officially delineates recessions last month said that the 2020 recession lasted just two months. If the bushfires of late 2019 and early […]


The Economics of International Mobility

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, The Arts, The Australian Economy | 12th August 2021

Virtual presentation to the Australian Performing Arts Market ‘Gathering’ on 12th August 2021, looking at trends in (and consequences) of international mobility of goods and services, capital and people, both pre- and post-Covid, and the consequences of Covid for the performing arts. Scroll down to view the recording.


Are skyrocketing house prices a wellness issue?

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 7th August 2021

Saul talks to ABC Radio National’s Geraldine Doogue about the reasons for ever-escalating property prices


Negative Gearing and Capital Gains Tax (again)

Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News, Taxation | 4th August 2021

Saul talks to National Radio News’ political reporter Amanda Copp about tax policy and housing, following the Australian Labor Party’s decision to abandon the policies it took to the past two elections (in 2016 and 2019) of abolishing ‘negative gearing’ (the long-standing provision in Australia’s tax code whereby investors in property, or other assets, can […]


Bursting the Housing Bubble

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, The Australian Economy | 3rd August 2021

Podcast of a discussion with Janet Ge, Associate Professor in the School of Built Environment at University of Technology, Sydney and Matt Grudnoff of the Australia Institute, a think tank, hosted by Toby Hemmings of Think: Business Futures, focussing on the consequences of and reasons for the continued escalation of Australian residential property prices. 


The Economics of Immigration

Australian Society and Politics, News, The Australian Economy | 3rd August 2021

Talk to the Sydney Institute, 3rd August 2021. The margin by which Australia’s economic growth rate has exceeded the average for all ‘advanced’ economies over the past two decades is almost entirely attributable to Australia’s immigration program. But that’s not the criterion against which it should be judged. Australia’s immigration program has made a small […]


How is the immigration pause affecting Australia’s economy?

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 22nd July 2021

Saul Eslake talks to ABC Radio National’s Peter Martin and Gigi Foster on their “The Economists” program 22nd July 2021


Video & Presentation Slides: Australia’s ‘new protectionism’

Australia's New Protectionism, Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 25th June 2021

Join Saul Eslake for a discussion about how Australia’s prolonged border closures are indirectly providing a short-term boost to spending, and making it easier to reduce unemployment – although in the long run this form of ‘protectionism’ like all the other forms will make us worse off.
This webinar is being offered free of charge in the interests of prompting wider awareness of some of the implications of the Government’s health and economic strategies.