SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Economic Policies


The Nobel Prize winning economist James Tobin once said that the study of economics “offered the hope, as it still does, that improved understanding could better the lot of mankind”. One of the ways in which it does this is through the implementation of economic policy that helps to ameliorate boom-and-bust cycles, reduces unemployment, contains inflation or lifts people’s living standards in sustainable ways.

Stage 3 Tax Cuts 2024

Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 15th January 2024

Saul Eslake talks to 4BC’s Bill McDonald about the ‘stage 3’ tax cuts – originally legislated by the former Morrison Government, but which the Albanese Government has pledged to deliver in full come 1st July – and the impact they might have on the Reserve Bank’s thinking about interest rates.


The RBA is following a slightly different path from its peers

Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 11th January 2024

The Reserve Bank of Australia has come in for criticism for some quarters for its most recent rate hike (on 7th November). Although most RBA-watchers, me included, think that there won’t be any more rate hikes next year, the Minutes of the 5th December RBA Board meeting show that another hike was a live option […]


The Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO)

Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 13th December 2023

Interview with Melbourne Radio station 3AW’s Heidi Murphy about the Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO) presented by Treasurer Jim Chalmers on Wednesday 13th December Economist provides rundown on the budget update and the ‘surprising’ passport increase (3aw.com.au)


September quarter national accounts and their implications for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s monetary policy

Economic Policies, Economic Video, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 6th December 2023

Saul spoke with Ausbiz ‘s Danielle Ecuyer about today’s September quarter national accounts and their implications for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s monetary policy settings 


Danielle Wood, the Productivity Commission and the horizontal fiscal equalization (HFE)

Economic Policies, Taxation, The Australian Economy | 13th November 2023

The changes to the way in which revenues from the GST are carved up among the states and territories imposed by the Morrison Government in 2019 (with the support of the then Labor Opposition) represent, IMHO, one of the worst pieces of public policy-making in Australia in at least 25 years. Among many other flaws, […]


Some Reflections on Inflation, Economic Growth and on Monetary and Fiscal Policy

Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 11th August 2022

Talk to the ACT Branch of the Economic Society of Australia, at Parliament House in Canberra, on 11th August 2022    


Managing the Budget

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Economic Video, The Australian Economy | 9th August 2022

 Presentation to the John Howard Prime Ministerial Library’s 2022 Annual Conference on the theme “Analysing the crises within the Howard Government era and their management”, on 23rd June 2022


Treasurer’s Ministerial Statement on the Economy

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 31st July 2022

Saul talks to Laura Tingle, Chief Political Correspondent for ABC-TV’s flagship current affairs program “7:30”, about the Treasurer’s Ministerial Statement on the Economy on 28th July. 


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.



“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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NEWS

TV, Radio & Print Media


Victoria joins the ranks of so-called ‘mendicant’ states
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 16th March 2025

The impact of Trump’s tariff and other policies
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 13th March 2025

What could be in the Federal Budget 2025-2026?
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 12th March 2025

The real meaning of last November’s US elections is becoming clearer – the American people voted for this
Australian Society and Politics, News, Security, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 9th March 2025

Werribee voters send messages to both major Victorian political parties
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 9th March 2025

Review of the case for privatization of Tasmanian Government business enterprises
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 6th March 2025

Tasmania’s Public Finances
& the Independent Review of Tasmania’s State Finances (Aug, 2024)

News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 14th February 2025

How Victoria became one of Australia’s ‘poor states’
Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 25th November 2024

Negative Gearing
Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview, Taxation | 26th September 2024

Tasmania’s State Budget 2024 – 2025 with Leon Compton
News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 13th September 2024

Solutions to Australia’s Housing Crisis
Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 11th September 2024

All about inflation
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 31st August 2024

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VIDEO

Most Recent Multimedia


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


Australian Minister for Housing, the Hon. Clare O'Neill MP on ABC Q&A, September 2024

“We are lucky as a State to have an economist of your calibre willing to readily make yourself available to give us a clea r perception of where we are at and the direction we need to go for a better future”
Diplomatic Representative, August 2024

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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LINKS

Useful Links


Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics

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