SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Australian Society and Politics


You can’t think (or write, or speak) about an economy without also having a sense of the broader social and economic framework in which it operates. I try very hard to avoid partisan political commentary, but I do sometimes feel moved to write or talk about social or political developments.

Submission to the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Tax and Revenue inquiry into Housing Affordability and Supply in Australia

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing | 31st August 2021

My submission to a House of Representatives Committee inquiry into housing affordability and home ownership, which recapitulates things I’ve been writing and saying about housing affordability and home ownership for the best part of four decades – without ever having really made any difference to the housing policies which governments at all levels and of […]


Is Australia having a Second Recession?

Australian Society and Politics, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 16th August 2021

A recession is commonly defined as two or more quarters of negative growth in real GDP. But that’s a silly rule – and it isn’t used in the US, where the body which officially delineates recessions last month said that the 2020 recession lasted just two months. If the bushfires of late 2019 and early […]


The Economics of International Mobility

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, The Arts, The Australian Economy | 12th August 2021

Virtual presentation to the Australian Performing Arts Market ‘Gathering’ on 12th August 2021, looking at trends in (and consequences) of international mobility of goods and services, capital and people, both pre- and post-Covid, and the consequences of Covid for the performing arts. Scroll down to view the recording.


Are skyrocketing house prices a wellness issue?

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 7th August 2021

Saul talks to ABC Radio National’s Geraldine Doogue about the reasons for ever-escalating property prices


Negative Gearing and Capital Gains Tax (again)

Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News, Taxation | 4th August 2021

Saul talks to National Radio News’ political reporter Amanda Copp about tax policy and housing, following the Australian Labor Party’s decision to abandon the policies it took to the past two elections (in 2016 and 2019) of abolishing ‘negative gearing’ (the long-standing provision in Australia’s tax code whereby investors in property, or other assets, can […]


Bursting the Housing Bubble

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, The Australian Economy | 3rd August 2021

Podcast of a discussion with Janet Ge, Associate Professor in the School of Built Environment at University of Technology, Sydney and Matt Grudnoff of the Australia Institute, a think tank, hosted by Toby Hemmings of Think: Business Futures, focussing on the consequences of and reasons for the continued escalation of Australian residential property prices. 


The Economics of Immigration

Australian Society and Politics, News, The Australian Economy | 3rd August 2021

Talk to the Sydney Institute, 3rd August 2021. The margin by which Australia’s economic growth rate has exceeded the average for all ‘advanced’ economies over the past two decades is almost entirely attributable to Australia’s immigration program. But that’s not the criterion against which it should be judged. Australia’s immigration program has made a small […]


How is the immigration pause affecting Australia’s economy?

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 22nd July 2021

Saul Eslake talks to ABC Radio National’s Peter Martin and Gigi Foster on their “The Economists” program 22nd July 2021


ECONOMIC CHART PACK


Beginning in June 2020, Saul began publishing the Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack, a weekly publication tracking the course of Covid-19 and its impact on economies around the world, including Australia and New Zealand. Starting at just under 60 pages, by the second half of 2021 it had grown to more than 150 pages.

From the beginning of this year, 2022, the Chart Pack has been replaced with three separate publications:

Each of these chart packs will continue to trace the impact of the virus (for as long as that’s relevant), economic data, developments in monetary and fiscal policy, trends in financial markets, and (where relevant) political developments. They will be accessible to subscribers of the Premium Access package.

The World Economy chart pack will have sections covering the global economy, and the economies of major regions – including the United States, Europe, China, Japan, other East Asian countries, India, Canada, Australia and New Zealand (very briefly), Latin America and Central & Eastern Europe.


"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way. So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


"A timely and comprehensive summary from one of Australia's best economists."

Adam Creighton, Economics Editor for The Australian


“I continue to find your thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


THE WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK
16th May 2022



This chart pack, published on Monday morning (Eastern Australian time) each week, portrays developments in the global economy and in the economies of major nations and regions – the United States, Europe, China, Japan, other East Asian economies, India, Canada, Australia & New Zealand*, Latin America and Central & Eastern Europe – with particular emphasis on:

  • the impact of Covid-19,
  • economic growth,
  • labour markets,
  • international trade and payments,
  • inflation,
  • fiscal and monetary policy,
  • bond, currency and stock markets, and
  • where relevant, political developments

The pack typically runs to 110-120 pages and includes more than 570 individual charts as well as tables and text.

* for more detailed coverage of Australia and New Zealand please see The Australian Economy this Week and The New Zealand Economy this Month, respectively.

THE WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK 2022-05-16

THE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY THIS WEEK
14th May 2022



This chart pack, published on Friday evening (Eastern Australian time) each week, portrays developments in the Australian economy, with particular emphasis on:

  • the impact of Covid-19,
  • broad indicators of economic growth,
  • conditions in the business sector
  • the household sector, and consumer spending
  • housing finance and construction. and the residential property market
  • the labour market
  • commodity prices, trade and the balance of payments
  • inflation,
  • fiscal and monetary policy,
  • Australian financial markets

Closer to this year’s federal elections – which have to be held no later than 29th May – we will include some pages on political developments as well.

The pack typically runs to 80-90 pages and includes some 280 charts.

For coverage of the global economy, please see The World Economy this Week

THE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY THIS WEEK 2022-05-14

EVENTS

Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


online events @ saul-eslake.com



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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


The World Economy this Week 2022-05-16

The World Economy This Week | 16th May 2022

The Australian Economy this Week 2022-05-13

The Australian Economy This Week | 14th May 2022

Monash University Indonesia and XSPI webinar
Asian Economies, The Australian Economy
17th May 2022


The Morrison Government’s “Super for Housing” (with Joe O’Brien)
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview
16th May 2022


The Morrison Government’s “Super for Housing” (with Peter Ryan)
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview
16th May 2022


Tasmania Talks 16 May 2022
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
16th May 2022


Why Reserve Bank needs to raise rates next week
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Economic Video, News, The Australian Economy
28th April 2022


“Why ‘less’ could be more when it comes to solving housing affordability crisis” – interview with Melbourne radio 3AW’s Tom Elliott
Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News
22nd April 2022


Who are the ‘better managers’ of Australia’s economy?
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy
21st April 2022


60 years of housing policy failure
Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview
18th April 2022


Jobs in Depth with SBS’ Ricardo Gonçalves
News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
15th April 2022


“Better economic managers”: a factcheck with Saul Eslake
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
13th April 2022


How greed and politics threaten Tasmanian living standards
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Tasmania
12th April 2022


Scott Morrison spruiks Australia’s post-Covid jobs recovery. We factcheck him
Australian Society and Politics, News, The Australian Economy
8th April 2022


VIDEO

Recent Presentations


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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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LINKS

Useful Links