‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Australian Economy

Australia hasn’t had a recession – in the widely used sense of two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth – since 1991. Since then, Australia’s ranking among nations in terms of per capita GDP has risen from 22nd to, in the last four years, either 12th or 13th, behind only the United States, Norway, Switzerland and a number of other smaller states which are predominantly either oil producers or financial centres. Australia’s economic performance reflects a combination of luck and management – the relative importance and quality of which have varied significantly from time to time. Monitoring the performance of and analysing the prospects for the Australian economy has been the major part of my ‘day job’ since I completed my university degree in 1979.

Queensland Government’s doubes its First Home Owners’ Grants

Australian Society and Politics, Housing, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, Video | 20th November 2023

Saul talks to Brisbane radio 4BC’s Bill McDonald about the Queensland Government’s decision to double its First Home Owners’ Grant 

Danielle Wood, the Productivity Commission and the horizontal fiscal equalization (HFE)

Economic Policies, Taxation, The Australian Economy | 13th November 2023

The changes to the way in which revenues from the GST are carved up among the states and territories imposed by the Morrison Government in 2019 (with the support of the then Labor Opposition) represent, IMHO, one of the worst pieces of public policy-making in Australia in at least 25 years. Among many other flaws, […]

RBA lifts interest rate by another 0.25% on 7th November 2023

Economic Video, Housing, News, The Australian Economy | 7th November 2023

Saul speaks to the ABC’ Joe O’Brien about the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to lift its cash rate by another 0.25 percentage points on 7th November. 

Risky Business

The Australian Economy | 1st November 2023

‘Risky Business’ – Presentation to the 2023 Meat Processing and Export Conference, 1st November 2023 In addition to the usual coverage of the global and Australian economies, the Australian Meat Industry Council asked me to identify the “three biggest risks” to Australia’s meat export industry.  

Global and Australian Economic Outlook

The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 10th August 2023

A presentation on the global and Australian economic outlook to a conference hosted by the Queensland Division of the Urban Development Institute of Australia in Brisbane on 10th August 2023.

Inflation Rate

Economic Video, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 30th March 2023

Saul talks to Sky News Australia’s Ashleigh Gillon about the latest CPI on 30th March 2023 

Some Reflections on Inflation, Economic Growth and on Monetary and Fiscal Policy

Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 11th August 2022

Talk to the ACT Branch of the Economic Society of Australia, at Parliament House in Canberra, on 11th August 2022    


Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness

Saul Eslake online presentation

“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast

“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia

“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies

Request Speaking Engagement


Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations

The Tasmanian Economy
29th February 2024

The worst public policy decision of the 21st Century
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
20th February 2024

Is ‘price gouging’ a major contributor to inflation?
Recent Media Interview
19th February 2024

The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Andy Park)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024

The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Gary Adshead)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024

Tasmania’s senior secondary education reform
Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
13th February 2024

Distribution of GST Revenue: the Worst Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century to date.
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
4th February 2024

Insights on Asian Elections 2024 mentioned in The Economist
Asian Economies
30th January 2024

Alternatives to interest rates
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
29th January 2024

Reflections on ‘Australia Day’
Australian Society and Politics
26th January 2024

‘Stage 3’ tax cuts
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
25th January 2024

The proposed changes to the “stage 3 tax cuts”
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
24th January 2024

Don’t count your chickens when it comes to an RBA rate cut
Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
23rd January 2024

Have we passed ‘peak China’?
Asian Economies
23rd January 2024

Cost of Living and Housing Pressure
Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
22nd January 2024


Recent Presentations

See more


What Others Say

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

Read more


Useful Links