SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Australian Economy


Australia hasn’t had a recession – in the widely used sense of two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth – since 1991. Since then, Australia’s ranking among nations in terms of per capita GDP has risen from 22nd to, in the last four years, either 12th or 13th, behind only the United States, Norway, Switzerland and a number of other smaller states which are predominantly either oil producers or financial centres. Australia’s economic performance reflects a combination of luck and management – the relative importance and quality of which have varied significantly from time to time. Monitoring the performance of and analysing the prospects for the Australian economy has been the major part of my ‘day job’ since I completed my university degree in 1979.

The Australian economy in a rapidly changing world environment

The Australian Economy | 28th July 2017

Presentation to a ‘Pathfinder Breakfast’ hosted by the Sydney C3 Church, at the Westin Sydney, on Friday 28th July


Has Australia really set a ‘new world record’ for continuous economic growth

Publications, The Australian Economy | 6th June 2017

Saul Eslake | The Conversation |06th June 2017 Australia hasn’t had a recession – defined as consecutive quarters of ‘negative growth’ in real GDP since the first half of 1991. Some have claimed that, with the release of first quarter GDP figures on 7th June 2017, Australia will have surpassed a ‘record’ for recession-free growth […]


The Economic Outlook

The Australian Economy | 15th May 2017

Presentation to the Australian Shareholders’ Association Annual Conference, Melbourne, 15th May 2017 Listen to a podcast of an interview recorded after the presentation:


The 2017-18 Budget

Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 11th May 2017

Presentation to a post-Budget breakfast hosted by accounting firm Moore Stephens in Melbourne on 11th May 2017


Outlook for the World Economy and its Implications for Australia

The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 4th April 2017

Presentation to FactSet Investment Processing Symposium, Sydney, 4th April 2017


Key issues for the global and Australian economies in 2017

The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 7th February 2017

Presentation to the International CEO Forum – Melbourne, 7th February 2017


The Importance of productivity as a driver of the Victorian economy

Productivity, The Australian Economy | 24th November 2016

Presentation to Members of Victoria’s Parliament, Melbourne, 25th November 2016


A Country Executive Guide to the Australian and New Zealand Economies

The Australian Economy | 15th November 2016

Webinar presentation hosted by the CEO Forum Group for executives of multi-national companies with a presence in Australia and New Zealand, on 15th November 2016


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


The Tasmanian Economy
Tasmania
29th February 2024


The worst public policy decision of the 21st Century
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
20th February 2024


Is ‘price gouging’ a major contributor to inflation?
Recent Media Interview
19th February 2024


The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Andy Park)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Gary Adshead)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


Tasmania’s senior secondary education reform
Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
13th February 2024


Distribution of GST Revenue: the Worst Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century to date.
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
4th February 2024


Insights on Asian Elections 2024 mentioned in The Economist
Asian Economies
30th January 2024


Alternatives to interest rates
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
29th January 2024


Reflections on ‘Australia Day’
Australian Society and Politics
26th January 2024


‘Stage 3’ tax cuts
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
25th January 2024


The proposed changes to the “stage 3 tax cuts”
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
24th January 2024


Don’t count your chickens when it comes to an RBA rate cut
Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
23rd January 2024


Have we passed ‘peak China’?
Asian Economies
23rd January 2024


Cost of Living and Housing Pressure
Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
22nd January 2024


VIDEO

Recent Presentations


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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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