SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Australian Economy


Australia hasn’t had a recession – in the widely used sense of two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth – since 1991. Since then, Australia’s ranking among nations in terms of per capita GDP has risen from 22nd to, in the last four years, either 12th or 13th, behind only the United States, Norway, Switzerland and a number of other smaller states which are predominantly either oil producers or financial centres. Australia’s economic performance reflects a combination of luck and management – the relative importance and quality of which have varied significantly from time to time. Monitoring the performance of and analysing the prospects for the Australian economy has been the major part of my ‘day job’ since I completed my university degree in 1979.

The Outlook: for the Economy

News, The Australian Economy | 15th August 2018

Greg Dyett | SBS World News Radio | 15th Auguest 2018 Interview with SBS World News Radio’s Greg Dyett, published on Wednesday 15th August 2018 (also including ACOSS’ Cassandra Goldie and RBA Governor Phillip Lowe)


The global and Australian economies: issues for investors

The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 1st August 2018

Presentation to the Australian Investors’ Association National Conference on the Gold Coast, 1st August 2018


Global and Australian Economies – Searching for Growth

Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 25th June 2018

Address to the Australian Davos Connection’s Australian Leadership Retreat, Gold Coast, Queensland, 22nd June 2018


Inequality between places and regional economic development

The Australian Economy | 17th June 2018

Presentation to the Australian Council of Local Government Associations’ 2018 Regional Co-operation and Development Forum, Canberra, 17th June 2018


The Economic Impact of Not-for-Profits

Tasmania, The Australian Economy | 17th May 2018

Presentation to a business breakfast hosted by the Salvation Army in Hobart on 17th May 2018 to launch their annual Red Shield Appeal. At the request of the organizers this also includes some material on the Tasmanian economy ahead of next month’s state budget.


The 2018-19 Australian Government Budget – an Assessment

Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 11th May 2018

Presentation to a breakfast hosted by the ACT Branch of the Economic Society of Australia, Canberra, 11th May 2018


Australia’s Economic Horizon

The Australian Economy | 4th May 2018

Presentation to the Australian Automotive After Care Association’s “Autocare 2018” National Convention – Darling Harbour, Sydney, 4th May 2018


What South Australia needs to do

Publications, The Australian Economy | 7th March 2018

Saul Eslake | Adelaide Advertiser | 7th March 2018 Article published in the Adelaide Advertiser newspaper on 7th March 2018 (ten days before South Australia’s state election on 17th March), looking at South Australia’s economy through the same prism that I use for Tasmania’s.


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.



“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


Request Speaking Engagement

WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


Australian Financial Review magazine feature on ‘The Worst (Australian) Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century Thus Far’
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, Topics
24th July 2024


Have we passed ‘peak China’? (and might a big fall in the RMB be on the horizon?)
Asian Economies, The Global Economy
11th July 2024


‘The Big Picture’
Asian Economies, Economic Policies, Economic Video, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy
22nd June 2024


ATO’s Latest Taxation Statistics – June 2024
News, Recent Media Interview, Taxation
20th June 2024


Other central banks are cutting rates, why isnt the RBA?
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
13th June 2024


Interest Rate and Inflation – Where to now?
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
8th June 2024


The pros and cons of cutting immigration
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
7th June 2024


A post-Budget conversation
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
16th May 2024


The 2024-25 Australian Government Budget – An Assessment
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
15th May 2024


Upcoming Federal Budget with Laura Jayes
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy
13th May 2024


Preview of the 2024-25 Federal Budget
Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy
11th May 2024


The WA GST deal – the worst public policy decision of the 21st century thus far – Address to the National Press Club
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies
8th May 2024


The implications of Australia’s higher-than-expected March quarter inflation numbers
News, The Australian Economy
25th April 2024


‘A distinctive part of life in Australia’ The Declining Dream of Homeownership
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing
17th April 2024


VIDEO

Recent Presentations


See more


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

Read more

LINKS

Useful Links