SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Australian Economy


Australia hasn’t had a recession – in the widely used sense of two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth – since 1991. Since then, Australia’s ranking among nations in terms of per capita GDP has risen from 22nd to, in the last four years, either 12th or 13th, behind only the United States, Norway, Switzerland and a number of other smaller states which are predominantly either oil producers or financial centres. Australia’s economic performance reflects a combination of luck and management – the relative importance and quality of which have varied significantly from time to time. Monitoring the performance of and analysing the prospects for the Australian economy has been the major part of my ‘day job’ since I completed my university degree in 1979.

Panel discussion hosted by the Sydney Business Chamber

The Australian Economy | 17th November 2020

Saul participated in a panel discussion on “The Way Out – the NSW Economy” hosted by the Sydney Business Chamber on 10th November, ahead of the NSW State Budget presented on 17th November, along with Gigi Foster, Professor of Economics at the University of NSW, and Mark Frost, Chief Economist of Business NSW. An edited […]


Regulatory action that ANZ would not like

Australian Society and Politics, Publications, The Australian Economy | 8th November 2020

Last month, a senior Minister in the Morrison Government threatened my former employer, ANZ Bank, with adverse regulatory actions because a well-known employee with the initials “SE” (in this case, the current CEO Shayne Elliott) said something that the Minister didn’t like. This brought back fond memories, which I couldn’t help writing about .


Video & presentation slides: An Assessment of the 2020-21 Australian Government Budget

Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 7th October 2020

Video* and presentation slide for Assessment of the 2020-21 Australian Federal Budget, 7th October 2020. *Subscribers will receive YouTube invitation email to access this private video.


Economist Saul Eslake details what the significant deficit means for our nation

Economic Policies, News, Tasmania, The Australian Economy | 7th October 2020

Post Budget2020 interview with Tasmanian Talks‘ Aaron Stevens, 6th October 2020 BUDGET 2020: A Tasmania Talks deep dive


Budget 2020: A recalibration of fiscal strategy

Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 7th October 2020

Interview with Alan Kohler, Talking Finance, 7th October 2020 It’s all about the federal budget this week as Alan Kohler is joined by Independent Economist, Saul Eslake who questions whether the targeting of money will boost economic activity while suggesting households should have been offered vouchers to spend in order to stimulate the economy.


The impact of Covid-19 on government finances

Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 17th September 2020

Prepared remarks for Medicines Australia’s PharmAus20 Digital Forum panel discussion, 17th September 2020- Session 4


Tasmania’s tax system is broken: here are three ways to fix it

Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy | 15th September 2020

Saul Eslake | The Conversation | 15th September 2020


Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Australian Economies – September 2020

Asian Economies, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 7th September 2020

Online presentation slides: the Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Australian Economies 7th September 2020  


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Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


The Tasmanian Economy
Tasmania
29th February 2024


The worst public policy decision of the 21st Century
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
20th February 2024


Is ‘price gouging’ a major contributor to inflation?
Recent Media Interview
19th February 2024


The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Andy Park)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Gary Adshead)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


Tasmania’s senior secondary education reform
Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
13th February 2024


Distribution of GST Revenue: the Worst Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century to date.
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
4th February 2024


Insights on Asian Elections 2024 mentioned in The Economist
Asian Economies
30th January 2024


Alternatives to interest rates
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
29th January 2024


Reflections on ‘Australia Day’
Australian Society and Politics
26th January 2024


‘Stage 3’ tax cuts
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
25th January 2024


The proposed changes to the “stage 3 tax cuts”
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
24th January 2024


Don’t count your chickens when it comes to an RBA rate cut
Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
23rd January 2024


Have we passed ‘peak China’?
Asian Economies
23rd January 2024


Cost of Living and Housing Pressure
Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
22nd January 2024


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Recent Presentations


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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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