SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Australian Economy


Australia hasn’t had a recession – in the widely used sense of two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth – since 1991. Since then, Australia’s ranking among nations in terms of per capita GDP has risen from 22nd to, in the last four years, either 12th or 13th, behind only the United States, Norway, Switzerland and a number of other smaller states which are predominantly either oil producers or financial centres. Australia’s economic performance reflects a combination of luck and management – the relative importance and quality of which have varied significantly from time to time. Monitoring the performance of and analysing the prospects for the Australian economy has been the major part of my ‘day job’ since I completed my university degree in 1979.

Global and Australian Economies – Searching for Growth

Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 25th June 2018

Address to the Australian Davos Connection’s Australian Leadership Retreat, Gold Coast, Queensland, 22nd June 2018


Inequality between places and regional economic development

The Australian Economy | 17th June 2018

Presentation to the Australian Council of Local Government Associations’ 2018 Regional Co-operation and Development Forum, Canberra, 17th June 2018


The Economic Impact of Not-for-Profits

Tasmania, The Australian Economy | 17th May 2018

Presentation to a business breakfast hosted by the Salvation Army in Hobart on 17th May 2018 to launch their annual Red Shield Appeal. At the request of the organizers this also includes some material on the Tasmanian economy ahead of next month’s state budget.


The 2018-19 Australian Government Budget – an Assessment

Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 11th May 2018

Presentation to a breakfast hosted by the ACT Branch of the Economic Society of Australia, Canberra, 11th May 2018


Australia’s Economic Horizon

The Australian Economy | 4th May 2018

Presentation to the Australian Automotive After Care Association’s “Autocare 2018” National Convention – Darling Harbour, Sydney, 4th May 2018


What South Australia needs to do

Publications, The Australian Economy | 7th March 2018

Saul Eslake | Adelaide Advertiser | 7th March 2018 Article published in the Adelaide Advertiser newspaper on 7th March 2018 (ten days before South Australia’s state election on 17th March), looking at South Australia’s economy through the same prism that I use for Tasmania’s.


What’s happening in the Australian Economy?

The Australian Economy | 16th February 2018

Presentation to Smiths’ Snackfoods Distributor Partners Conference, Hobart, 16th February 2018


Outlook for the Australian Economy against a Global Economic Backdrop

The Australian Economy | 29th November 2017

Presentation to the ACTE-CAPA (Association of Corporate Travel Executives – Centre for Asia-Pacific Aviation) Conference, Sydney, 29th November 2017


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


‘A distinctive part of life in Australia’ The Declining Dream of Homeownership
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing
17th April 2024


Could China have a currency crisis at some point in the next 2-5 years?
Asian Economies, The Global Economy, Topics
16th April 2024


“The Great Housing Disaster – Who’s to Blame?”
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, Recent Media Interview, Topics
15th April 2024


The Economic Consequences of Surges in Immigration
Australian Society and Politics, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy, Topics
10th April 2024


Is China heading for some kind of currency or financial crisis?
Asian Economies, The Global Economy
4th April 2024


The next four years will be difficult for Tasmania
News, Tasmania
27th March 2024


Some initial reflections on the outcome of the 2024 Tasmanian State election
Australian Society and Politics, Tasmania
24th March 2024


Tasmania’s fiscal position
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
24th March 2024


Productivity, Tax Reform and ‘Peak China’
Asian Economies, Economic Policies, Productivity, Taxation, The Australian Economy
13th March 2024


Tasmania – lost opportunities
Tasmania
12th March 2024


The Tasmanian Economy
Tasmania
29th February 2024


The worst public policy decision of the 21st Century
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
20th February 2024


Is ‘price gouging’ a major contributor to inflation?
Recent Media Interview
19th February 2024


The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Andy Park)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Gary Adshead)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


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Recent Presentations


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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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