‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Australian Economy

Australia hasn’t had a recession – in the widely used sense of two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth – since 1991. Since then, Australia’s ranking among nations in terms of per capita GDP has risen from 22nd to, in the last four years, either 12th or 13th, behind only the United States, Norway, Switzerland and a number of other smaller states which are predominantly either oil producers or financial centres. Australia’s economic performance reflects a combination of luck and management – the relative importance and quality of which have varied significantly from time to time. Monitoring the performance of and analysing the prospects for the Australian economy has been the major part of my ‘day job’ since I completed my university degree in 1979.

The Future of Super

Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 16th July 2021

Saul discusses ‘The Future of Super’ with Federal Liberal MP Tim Wilson, who is also the Chair of the House of Representatives Economics Committee

The Post-Pandemic Economy

The Australian Economy | 13th July 2021

Address to a luncheon hosted by the South Australian Centre for Economic Studies in Adelaide on 13th July – looking (briefly) at the outlook for the world economy, (in a bit more detail) about the Australian economy’s performance and prospects, and finishing with some commentary on the changes to the way in which GST revenues […]

Video & Presentation Slides: Australia’s ‘new protectionism’

Australia's New Protectionism, Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 25th June 2021

Join Saul Eslake for a discussion about how Australia’s prolonged border closures are indirectly providing a short-term boost to spending, and making it easier to reduce unemployment – although in the long run this form of ‘protectionism’ like all the other forms will make us worse off.
This webinar is being offered free of charge in the interests of prompting wider awareness of some of the implications of the Government’s health and economic strategies.

How Victoria became one of Australia’s ‘poorer’ states over the past 10 years

Publications, The Australian Economy | 4th June 2021

Op-ed article published in the Melbourne Age and Sydney Morning Herald newspapers  on 4th June 2021 outlining how Victoria’s economy has come to depend to a much greater extent on population growth than that of any other Australian state or territory, and the possible consequences for Victoria’s medium-term economic outlook given the way its mis-handling […]

Victorians have become poorer than residents all other states and territories except one

Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 2nd June 2021

Saul talks to Melbourne radion 3AW‘s Ross Stevenson and Russel Howcroft about how Victoria has gone from being one of Australia’s richest states to one of its poorest, by some measures, over the past 20 years.

Will the property market stay this ‘hot’?

Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 2nd June 2021

Saul talks to Domain’s Alice Stolz about the outlook for property prices, and housing policies


Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness

Saul Eslake online presentation

“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast

“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia

“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies

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What Others Say

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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