The Australian Economy
Australia hasn’t had a recession – in the widely used sense of two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth – since 1991. Since then, Australia’s ranking among nations in terms of per capita GDP has risen from 22nd to, in the last four years, either 12th or 13th, behind only the United States, Norway, Switzerland and a number of other smaller states which are predominantly either oil producers or financial centres. Australia’s economic performance reflects a combination of luck and management – the relative importance and quality of which have varied significantly from time to time. Monitoring the performance of and analysing the prospects for the Australian economy has been the major part of my ‘day job’ since I completed my university degree in 1979.
Morrison’s special GST deal with WA – Monday Finance with Elysse Morgan
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 4th April 2022Saul talks to the ABC’s Elysse Morgan about the ‘dirty deal’ which adds almost $20bn to federal deficits in order to boost WA’s surpluses by the same amount, on ABC Radio National Breakfast
The 2022-2023 Federal Budget with Tasmania Talks’ Mike O’Loughlin
Australian Federal Budget, Australian Society and Politics, News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania, The Australian Economy | 30th March 2022Saul talks to Tasmania Talks’ Mike O’Loughlin about the 2022-23 Federal Budget, and its likely impact on Tasmania, wages, and housing affordability
The 2022-2023 Australian Federal Budget
Australian Society and Politics, The Australian Economy | 30th March 2022This year’s Federal Budget is, inevitably, a pre-election affair – given that an election has to be called no later than 18th April and held no later than 21st May. But, despite being blessed by substantial windfall revenue gains, this Budget isn’t as much of a ‘spendathon’ as some previous pre-election budgets have been. Some […]
Federal Budget 2022-2023 Preview with ABC PM’s David Lipson
Australian Federal Budget, Australian Society and Politics, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 28th March 2022Saul previews Tuesday evening’s 2022-23 Federal budget with David Lipson of the ABC’s flagship evening radio current affairs program ‘PM’
Will the world’s mega economies create the mega decade?
The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 28th March 2022Presentation to the Australian Investors’ Association 2022 National Conference on the Gold Coast, Queensland (spoiler alert: my answer is “no”).
Economic Outlook for Australia’s ‘Growth Areas’
Australian Society and Politics, The Australian Economy | 21st March 2022Presentation to the National Growth Areas’ Alliance National Congress, Werribee, Victoria, 21st March 2022 (the NGAA comprising 24 rapidly-growing local government areas in the outer suburbs of Australia’s five largest metropolitan areas)
The Reserve Bank’s balancing act on interest rates
News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 16th March 2022Saul talks to Gareth Hutchens of the ABC’s ‘The Business’ program about the challenges posed for the RBA by rising energy and food prices
Presentation to the National Apprentice Employment Network’s Annual Conference – 16th March 2022
Labour Market, The Australian Economy | 16th March 2022A ‘state of the nation’ presentation to the 2022 conference of the National Apprentice Employment Network, which represents and brings together Group Training Organizations who recruit, select and employ apprentices and trainees, and place them with host businesses.