The Australian Economy
Australia hasn’t had a recession – in the widely used sense of two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth – since 1991. Since then, Australia’s ranking among nations in terms of per capita GDP has risen from 22nd to, in the last four years, either 12th or 13th, behind only the United States, Norway, Switzerland and a number of other smaller states which are predominantly either oil producers or financial centres. Australia’s economic performance reflects a combination of luck and management – the relative importance and quality of which have varied significantly from time to time. Monitoring the performance of and analysing the prospects for the Australian economy has been the major part of my ‘day job’ since I completed my university degree in 1979.
Economic and Political Factors Affecting the Outlook for Australian RailThe Australian Economy | 28th February 2022
Presentation to the Australasian Railway Association’s “AusRail Plus” Conference at the Sydney International Convention Centre on 28th February 2022.
Saul Eslake expects more petrol, super pain if war worsensNews, The Australian Economy | 25th February 2022
Saul talks to Sean Ford, Launceston’s The Examiner, 25th Feb 2022 FEBRUARY 25 2022 – 3:00PM Saul Eslake expects more petrol, super pain if war worsens Sean Ford Share prices and superannuation balances will fall further and oil prices rise again if the Russia-Ukraine conflict worsens, economist Saul Eslake expects. “The most obvious consequences seem to have […]
Interview with Eureka Report’s Alan Kohler, 15th December 2021Housing, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 15th December 2021
Saul talks to the Eureka Report’s Alan Kohler about this week’s US Federal Reserve and other leading central bank meetings, inflation and house prices AK: Now, here’s Saul Eslake, independent economist and his business is called Corinna Economic Advisory. Saul, there’s a lot of central bank meetings this week, starting with the Federal Reserve, but […]
The costs and consequences of ‘small business fetishism’Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Publications, Taxation, The Australian Economy | 10th December 2021
Article published in the December 2021 edition of Agenda, the journal of the Australian National University’s School of Economics.
‘Minding the store’? Or ‘building a bigger and better store’?Economic Policies, Tasmania, The Australian Economy | 3rd December 2021
Saul’s presentation to the Economic Society of Australia’s annual Tasmanian Economic Forum in Hobart on 3rd December. Tasmania’s economic performance has improved considerably in recent years – and the current state government is entitled to claim some of the credit for that. It’s done a good job of ‘minding the store’ since being elected in […]
What impact will the government’s decision to open Australia’s borders to skilled migrants and students have on wages and house prices?Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 22nd November 2021
Interview with David Lipson on ABC Radio’s “PM” program on 22nd November 2021
‘The Next Big Risk: Insights on the Economic and Financial OutlookThe Australian Economy | 28th October 2021
Presentation to the Institute of Internal Auditors’ Audit & Risk Committee Forum, 28th October 2021