‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Australian Economy

Australia hasn’t had a recession – in the widely used sense of two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth – since 1991. Since then, Australia’s ranking among nations in terms of per capita GDP has risen from 22nd to, in the last four years, either 12th or 13th, behind only the United States, Norway, Switzerland and a number of other smaller states which are predominantly either oil producers or financial centres. Australia’s economic performance reflects a combination of luck and management – the relative importance and quality of which have varied significantly from time to time. Monitoring the performance of and analysing the prospects for the Australian economy has been the major part of my ‘day job’ since I completed my university degree in 1979.

Economic and Political Factors Affecting the Outlook for Australian Rail

The Australian Economy | 28th February 2022

Presentation to the Australasian Railway Association’s “AusRail Plus” Conference at the Sydney International Convention Centre on 28th February 2022.

Saul Eslake expects more petrol, super pain if war worsens

News, The Australian Economy | 25th February 2022

Saul talks to Sean Ford, Launceston’s The Examiner, 25th Feb 2022 FEBRUARY 25 2022 – 3:00PM Saul Eslake expects more petrol, super pain if war worsens Sean Ford Share prices and superannuation balances will fall further and oil prices rise again if the Russia-Ukraine conflict worsens, economist Saul Eslake expects. “The most obvious consequences seem to have […]

Interview with Eureka Report’s Alan Kohler, 15th December 2021

Housing, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 15th December 2021

Saul talks to the Eureka Report’s Alan Kohler about this week’s US Federal Reserve and other leading central bank meetings, inflation and house prices AK: Now, here’s Saul Eslake, independent economist and his business is called Corinna Economic Advisory. Saul, there’s a lot of central bank meetings this week, starting with the Federal Reserve, but […]

The costs and consequences of ‘small business fetishism’

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Publications, Taxation, The Australian Economy | 10th December 2021

Article published in the December 2021 edition of Agenda, the journal of the Australian National University’s School of Economics.

Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook 2021-2022

Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 7th December 2021

Saul talks to ABC Radio National‘s Peter Ryan about Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook 2021-2022

‘Minding the store’? Or ‘building a bigger and better store’?

Economic Policies, Tasmania, The Australian Economy | 3rd December 2021

Saul’s presentation to the Economic Society of Australia’s annual Tasmanian Economic Forum in Hobart on 3rd December. Tasmania’s economic performance has improved considerably in recent years – and the current state government is entitled to claim some of the credit for that. It’s done a good job of ‘minding the store’ since being elected in […]

‘The Next Big Risk: Insights on the Economic and Financial Outlook

The Australian Economy | 28th October 2021

Presentation to the Institute of Internal Auditors’ Audit & Risk Committee Forum, 28th October 2021


Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness

Saul Eslake online presentation

“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast

“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia

“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies

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What Others Say

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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