SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Global Economy


Australia may be an island continent, but it is no more immune to global economic influences than are other countries which share physical borders with their nearest neighbours. Australia is very much exposed to global swings in commodity prices, and to fluctuations in major advanced economies and (increasingly) to business cycles in key emerging economies such as China. Australia’s financial markets are increasingly integrated with the their global counterparts. And Australian economic policy-makers cannot ignore changes in monetary, fiscal and other economic policy settings in the world’s major economies. Hence, an awareness of trends in the global economy is an essential element of understanding Australian economic conditions.

Trump’s Apparent Tariffs Backflip

Economic Policies, Globalization, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy | 10th April 2025

Saul Eslake talks to ABC’s Hamish MacDonald about Donald Trump’s apparent tariffs backflip on 10th April 2025.


Trump’s Tariffs and China’s reaction

Economic Policies, Globalization, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 10th April 2025

Saul Eslake talks to Turkish international channel TRT about US President Donald Trump’s tariffs, and their impact on global markets.


Tariffs, Global Economics, and the Future of Trade Policies

Economic Policies, Globalization, News, The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 8th April 2025

Saul Eslake had a conversation with his [half-]sister Amanda Archibald about tariffs, global economics, and the future of trade policies.


Stocks bloodbath: Why investors no longer think Trump can make America great again

Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Global Economy | 7th April 2025

Saul Eslake had an op-ed article about the sharp downturn in world stockmarkets prompted by US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies, published in the Sydney Daily Telegraph on 7th April.


Donald Trump, ‘reciprocal tariffs’, crazy formulae, penguins & seals, and the ghost of Al Capone

Economic Policies, Globalization, Registration, The Global Economy | 6th April 2025

Inside Story commissioned an article from Saul Eslake about Donald Trump’s “reciprocal tariffs”, which you can either read there or the original text here below:


The Impact of President Trump’s ‘trade war’

Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 18th March 2025

Saul Eslake spoke with ABC Radio 702 Sydney’s ‘Mornings’ Presenter Hamish McDonald about the impact of US President Donald Trump’s ‘trade war’ on the Australian and global economies, and the stock market.


Potential Risks in the Australian Share Market

Economic Policies, Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 18th March 2025

Saul spoke to Sean Boss of Hot Copper, a website for retail investors, on 14th March about the potential risks for investors in the Australian share market, and how to manage them.


Erratic US Trade Policy

Economic Policies, Globalization, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 15th March 2025

Saul Eslake talks to the ABC’s national business and finance reporter Alicia Barry about the risks of a US recession and the consequences of the economic policies being pursued by the Trump regime


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.



“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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VIDEO

Most Recent Multimedia


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


Australian Minister for Housing, the Hon. Clare O'Neill MP on ABC Q&A, September 2024

“We are lucky as a State to have an economist of your calibre willing to readily make yourself available to give us a clea r perception of where we are at and the direction we need to go for a better future”
Diplomatic Representative, August 2024

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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LINKS

Useful Links


Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics

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