SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Global Economy


Australia may be an island continent, but it is no more immune to global economic influences than are other countries which share physical borders with their nearest neighbours. Australia is very much exposed to global swings in commodity prices, and to fluctuations in major advanced economies and (increasingly) to business cycles in key emerging economies such as China. Australia’s financial markets are increasingly integrated with the their global counterparts. And Australian economic policy-makers cannot ignore changes in monetary, fiscal and other economic policy settings in the world’s major economies. Hence, an awareness of trends in the global economy is an essential element of understanding Australian economic conditions.

How serious is the inflation threat

The Global Economy | 7th October 2021

Presentation to a webinar hosted by Jamieson Coote Bonds, a Melbourne-based fixed income funds manager, on 7th October 2021


Papua New Guinea in the Post-Covid World Economy

Asian Economies, The Global Economy | 7th September 2021

Presentation to the 2021 Papua New Guinea Investment Conference, 7th September 2021


Excerpt: Modern Monetary Theory

Economic Policies, Economics and Economists, QE & MMT, The Global Economy | 25th August 2021

Login or subscribe to view the full video and presentation slides Login Subcribe Some commentators seem to think that ‘QE’ is simply a variant of, or a step along the road to, something called ‘Modern Monetary Theory’ or ‘MMT’.  It isn’t: and so in the second part of this series Saul explains what MMT is […]


Video & Presentation Slides: Modern Monetary Theory

Economic Policies, Economics and Economists, The Global Economy | 25th August 2021

In this webinar Saul will explain what MMT is (and what it isn’t), what the historical record shows about how it might work in practice, and what some of the results might be if it were implemented in current circumstances.


Video & Presentation Slides: What is ‘QE’, and how does it work?

Economic Policies, Economics and Economists, QE & MMT, The Global Economy | 29th July 2021

In this webinar Saul will explain exactly what ‘QE’ is, how its done, why central banks are doing it, what its intended and unintended effects are, and how long central banks might keep doing it for.


Where does the ‘excess US stimulus’ show up – in higher inflation or a bigger current account deficit

Economic Policies, The Global Economy | 3rd June 2021

A note co-authored with John Llewellyn of Llewellyn Consulting which asks where the ‘excess demand’ resulting from the extraordinary amount of policy stimulus now being applied to the US economy will show up – in inflation (which is where the financial markets and most pundits appear to be looking) or in the US balance of […]


Video & Presentation Slide: US Economy

The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 28th April 2021

Presentation slide for US Economy webinar, 28th April 2021. The US now seems at last to be ‘getting on top’ of Covid 19, and its economy is now on the receiving end of a large volume of fiscal and monetary policy stimulus – Saul will look at the impact on US economic growth, inflation, the […]


US Economy: Part 3 A Huge Fiscal Stimulus

The Global Economy, US Economy Video, Video | 28th April 2021

Presentation slide for US Economy webinar, 28th April 2021. The US now seems at last to be ‘getting on top’ of Covid 19, and its economy is now on the receiving end of a large volume of fiscal and monetary policy stimulus – Saul will look at the impact on US economic growth, inflation, the […]


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

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Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


The Tasmanian Economy
Tasmania
29th February 2024


The worst public policy decision of the 21st Century
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
20th February 2024


Is ‘price gouging’ a major contributor to inflation?
Recent Media Interview
19th February 2024


The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Andy Park)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Gary Adshead)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


Tasmania’s senior secondary education reform
Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
13th February 2024


Distribution of GST Revenue: the Worst Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century to date.
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
4th February 2024


Insights on Asian Elections 2024 mentioned in The Economist
Asian Economies
30th January 2024


Alternatives to interest rates
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
29th January 2024


Reflections on ‘Australia Day’
Australian Society and Politics
26th January 2024


‘Stage 3’ tax cuts
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
25th January 2024


The proposed changes to the “stage 3 tax cuts”
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
24th January 2024


Don’t count your chickens when it comes to an RBA rate cut
Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
23rd January 2024


Have we passed ‘peak China’?
Asian Economies
23rd January 2024


Cost of Living and Housing Pressure
Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
22nd January 2024


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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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