SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Global Economy


Australia may be an island continent, but it is no more immune to global economic influences than are other countries which share physical borders with their nearest neighbours. Australia is very much exposed to global swings in commodity prices, and to fluctuations in major advanced economies and (increasingly) to business cycles in key emerging economies such as China. Australia’s financial markets are increasingly integrated with the their global counterparts. And Australian economic policy-makers cannot ignore changes in monetary, fiscal and other economic policy settings in the world’s major economies. Hence, an awareness of trends in the global economy is an essential element of understanding Australian economic conditions.

US Economy: Part 6 The current account deficit

The Global Economy, US Economy Video, Video | 28th April 2021

Presentation slide for US Economy webinar, 28th April 2021. The US now seems at last to be ‘getting on top’ of Covid 19, and its economy is now on the receiving end of a large volume of fiscal and monetary policy stimulus – Saul will look at the impact on US economic growth, inflation, the […]


The US economy

The Global Economy | 20th April 2021

The US now seems at last to be ‘getting on top’ of Covid 19, and its economy is now on the receiving end of a large volume of fiscal and monetary policy stimulus – this presentation looks at the impact on US economic growth, inflation, the balance of payments, bond yields and the US dollar...

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China’s Economy

Asian Economies, The Global Economy | 10th March 2021

China’s was the only major economy to record positive growth in 2020. In this talk Saul will discuss the sustainability of the recovery that’s been under way since the second quarter of 2020, the medium-term risks associated with China’s high debt levels, banking system and exchange rate regime.  He will also talk about prospects for […]


Covid-19 globally and the prospects for the world economy

The Global Economy | 10th February 2021

Saul talks to Alan Kohler about Covid-19 globally and the prospects for the world economy, 10th February 2021


Video & Presentation Slide: Preview of the US Presidential and Congressional elections

The Global Economy, US Economy Video, Video | 28th October 2020

Presentation slide for Preview of the US Presidential and Congressional elections, 28th October 2020.


Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Australian Economies – September 2020

Asian Economies, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 7th September 2020

Online presentation slides: the Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Australian Economies 7th September 2020  ...

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The Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Asian Economies

Asian Economies, The Global Economy | 31st July 2020

Presentation slides for The Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Asian Economies webinar 31st 2020...

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ECONOMIC CHART PACK


Beginning in June 2020, Saul began publishing the Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack, a weekly publication tracking the course of Covid-19 and its impact on economies around the world, including Australia and New Zealand. Starting at just under 60 pages, by the second half of 2021 it had grown to more than 150 pages.

From the beginning of this year, 2022, the Chart Pack has been replaced with three separate publications:

Each of these chart packs will continue to trace the impact of the virus (for as long as that’s relevant), economic data, developments in monetary and fiscal policy, trends in financial markets, and (where relevant) political developments. They will be accessible to subscribers of the Premium Access package.

The World Economy chart pack will have sections covering the global economy, and the economies of major regions – including the United States, Europe, China, Japan, other East Asian countries, India, Canada, Australia and New Zealand (very briefly), Latin America and Central & Eastern Europe.


"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way. So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


"A timely and comprehensive summary from one of Australia's best economists."

Adam Creighton, Economics Editor for The Australian


“I continue to find your thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


THE WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK
15th August 2022



This chart pack, published on Monday morning (Eastern Australian time) each week, portrays developments in the global economy and in the economies of major nations and regions – the United States, Europe, China, Japan, other East Asian economies, India, Canada, Australia & New Zealand*, Latin America and Central & Eastern Europe – with particular emphasis on:

  • the impact of Covid-19,
  • economic growth,
  • labour markets,
  • international trade and payments,
  • inflation,
  • fiscal and monetary policy,
  • bond, currency and stock markets, and
  • where relevant, political developments

The pack typically runs to 110-120 pages and includes more than 570 individual charts as well as tables and text.

* for more detailed coverage of Australia and New Zealand please see The Australian Economy this Week and The New Zealand Economy this Month, respectively.

THE WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK 2022-08-15

THE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY THIS WEEK
12th August 2022



This chart pack, published on Friday evening (Eastern Australian time) each week, portrays developments in the Australian economy, with particular emphasis on:

  • the impact of Covid-19,
  • broad indicators of economic growth,
  • conditions in the business sector
  • the household sector, and consumer spending
  • housing finance and construction. and the residential property market
  • the labour market
  • commodity prices, trade and the balance of payments
  • inflation,
  • fiscal and monetary policy,
  • Australian financial markets

Closer to this year’s federal elections – which have to be held no later than 29th May – we will include some pages on political developments as well.

The pack typically runs to 80-90 pages and includes some 280 charts.

For coverage of the global economy, please see The World Economy this Week

THE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY THIS WEEK 2022-08-12

EVENTS

Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


online events @ saul-eslake.com



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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


The World Economy this Week 2022-08-15

The World Economy This Week | 15th August 2022

The Australian Economy this Week 2022-08-12

The Australian Economy This Week | 12th August 2022

Towards a Healthy Housing System and Why Social Housing isn’t Enough on its Own
Housing
17th August 2022


Papua New Guinea in the World Economy
The Global Economy
15th August 2022


Some Reflections on Inflation, Economic Growth and on Monetary and Fiscal Policy
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
11th August 2022


The Risk of Recession
Economic Video, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
10th August 2022


Managing the Budget
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Economic Video, The Australian Economy
9th August 2022


Treasurer’s Ministerial Statement on the Economy
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
31st July 2022


June quarter inflation figures
News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
28th July 2022


Consumer prices surge to 21-year high
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
27th July 2022


Critics call for World Trade Organization reform
Globalization, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy
27th July 2022


The Australian Economy – What’s in Store?
The Australian Economy
20th July 2022


The risks of recessions in Europe, the US and Australia
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy
13th July 2022


RBA raised rate for the third time
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
6th July 2022


VIDEO

Recent Presentations


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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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LINKS

Useful Links