SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Global Economy


Australia may be an island continent, but it is no more immune to global economic influences than are other countries which share physical borders with their nearest neighbours. Australia is very much exposed to global swings in commodity prices, and to fluctuations in major advanced economies and (increasingly) to business cycles in key emerging economies such as China. Australia’s financial markets are increasingly integrated with the their global counterparts. And Australian economic policy-makers cannot ignore changes in monetary, fiscal and other economic policy settings in the world’s major economies. Hence, an awareness of trends in the global economy is an essential element of understanding Australian economic conditions.

The ‘Post-Covid’ Global, Australian and Tasmanian Economies

Tasmania, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 12th June 2020

Presentation to a Webinar hosted by the Tasmanian Branch of the Australia-China Business Council, 12th June 2020


Saul Eslake’s February 2021 Presentation: China’s Economy

Asian Economies, The Global Economy | 9th March 2020

China’s was the only major economy to record positive growth in 2020. In this talk Saul will discuss the sustainability of the recovery that’s been under way since the second quarter of 2020, the medium-term risks associated with China’s high debt levels, banking system and exchange rate regime. He will also talk about prospects for Sino-US relations following the inauguration of Joe Biden as President of the United States, and the deterioration in the bilateral economic and political relationship between Australia and China.


The Changing International Economic Order and its Implications for Australia

The Global Economy | 30th November 2018

Presentation to the Economics Teachers Association of Western Australia Biennial Conference, Perth, 30th November 2018


Factors behind last week’s turbulence on stock markets

Publications, The Global Economy | 15th October 2018

Article published by Inside Story on Monday 15th October 2018


Economists’ view of the world – rates, growth and trade wars

Publications, The Global Economy | 15th August 2018

Reflections on the views of current and former bank chief economists from around the world at this year’s International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists, and on the possible consequences of a ‘trade war’ – article published by FIIG’s The Wire on 15th August 2018 Economists’ view of the world – rates, growth and trade wars […]


The global and Australian economies: issues for investors

The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 1st August 2018

Presentation to the Australian Investors’ Association National Conference on the Gold Coast, 1st August 2018


The Economic Big Picture

Commodities, The Global Economy | 29th May 2018

Presentation to the 2018 Resources ‘Rising Stars’ conference on the Gold Coast, Queensland, on 29th May 2018. Looks at trends in the world economy and implications for commodity prices.


The World Today – a Global Macro-economic and Political Perspective

The Global Economy | 19th September 2017

Presentation to an investor conference in Queenstown, New Zealand, on 19th September 2017, hosted by HRL Morrison & Co


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


‘A distinctive part of life in Australia’ The Declining Dream of Homeownership
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing
17th April 2024


Could China have a currency crisis at some point in the next 2-5 years?
Asian Economies, The Global Economy, Topics
16th April 2024


“The Great Housing Disaster – Who’s to Blame?”
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, Recent Media Interview, Topics
15th April 2024


The Economic Consequences of Surges in Immigration
Australian Society and Politics, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy, Topics
10th April 2024


Is China heading for some kind of currency or financial crisis?
Asian Economies, The Global Economy
4th April 2024


The next four years will be difficult for Tasmania
News, Tasmania
27th March 2024


Some initial reflections on the outcome of the 2024 Tasmanian State election
Australian Society and Politics, Tasmania
24th March 2024


Tasmania’s fiscal position
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
24th March 2024


Productivity, Tax Reform and ‘Peak China’
Asian Economies, Economic Policies, Productivity, Taxation, The Australian Economy
13th March 2024


Tasmania – lost opportunities
Tasmania
12th March 2024


The Tasmanian Economy
Tasmania
29th February 2024


The worst public policy decision of the 21st Century
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
20th February 2024


Is ‘price gouging’ a major contributor to inflation?
Recent Media Interview
19th February 2024


The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Andy Park)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Gary Adshead)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


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Recent Presentations


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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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