SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Global Economy


Australia may be an island continent, but it is no more immune to global economic influences than are other countries which share physical borders with their nearest neighbours. Australia is very much exposed to global swings in commodity prices, and to fluctuations in major advanced economies and (increasingly) to business cycles in key emerging economies such as China. Australia’s financial markets are increasingly integrated with the their global counterparts. And Australian economic policy-makers cannot ignore changes in monetary, fiscal and other economic policy settings in the world’s major economies. Hence, an awareness of trends in the global economy is an essential element of understanding Australian economic conditions.

Saul Eslake’s February 2021 Presentation: China’s Economy

Asian Economies, The Global Economy | 9th March 2020

China’s was the only major economy to record positive growth in 2020. In this talk Saul will discuss the sustainability of the recovery that’s been under way since the second quarter of 2020, the medium-term risks associated with China’s high debt levels, banking system and exchange rate regime. He will also talk about prospects for Sino-US relations following the inauguration of Joe Biden as President of the United States, and the deterioration in the bilateral economic and political relationship between Australia and China.


The Changing International Economic Order and its Implications for Australia

The Global Economy | 30th November 2018

Presentation to the Economics Teachers Association of Western Australia Biennial Conference, Perth, 30th November 2018


Factors behind last week’s turbulence on stock markets

Publications, The Global Economy | 15th October 2018

Article published by Inside Story on Monday 15th October 2018


Economists’ view of the world – rates, growth and trade wars

Publications, The Global Economy | 15th August 2018

Reflections on the views of current and former bank chief economists from around the world at this year’s International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists, and on the possible consequences of a ‘trade war’ – article published by FIIG’s The Wire on 15th August 2018 Economists’ view of the world – rates, growth and trade wars […]


The global and Australian economies: issues for investors

The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 1st August 2018

Presentation to the Australian Investors’ Association National Conference on the Gold Coast, 1st August 2018


The Economic Big Picture

Commodities, The Global Economy | 29th May 2018

Presentation to the 2018 Resources ‘Rising Stars’ conference on the Gold Coast, Queensland, on 29th May 2018. Looks at trends in the world economy and implications for commodity prices.


The World Today – a Global Macro-economic and Political Perspective

The Global Economy | 19th September 2017

Presentation to an investor conference in Queenstown, New Zealand, on 19th September 2017, hosted by HRL Morrison & Co


Population, participation and productivity: How to think about long-run economic growth

Productivity, The Global Economy | 5th July 2017

Presentation to the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE), Paris, 4-6th July 2017


ECONOMIC CHART PACK


Beginning in June 2020, Saul began publishing the Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack, a weekly publication tracking the course of Covid-19 and its impact on economies around the world, including Australia and New Zealand. Starting at just under 60 pages, by the second half of 2021 it had grown to more than 150 pages.

From the beginning of this year, 2022, the Chart Pack has been replaced with three separate publications:

Each of these chart packs will continue to trace the impact of the virus (for as long as that’s relevant), economic data, developments in monetary and fiscal policy, trends in financial markets, and (where relevant) political developments. They will be accessible to subscribers of the Premium Access package.

The World Economy chart pack will have sections covering the global economy, and the economies of major regions – including the United States, Europe, China, Japan, other East Asian countries, India, Canada, Australia and New Zealand (very briefly), Latin America and Central & Eastern Europe.


"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way. So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


"A timely and comprehensive summary from one of Australia's best economists."

Adam Creighton, Economics Editor for The Australian


“I continue to find your thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


THE WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK
16th May 2022



This chart pack, published on Monday morning (Eastern Australian time) each week, portrays developments in the global economy and in the economies of major nations and regions – the United States, Europe, China, Japan, other East Asian economies, India, Canada, Australia & New Zealand*, Latin America and Central & Eastern Europe – with particular emphasis on:

  • the impact of Covid-19,
  • economic growth,
  • labour markets,
  • international trade and payments,
  • inflation,
  • fiscal and monetary policy,
  • bond, currency and stock markets, and
  • where relevant, political developments

The pack typically runs to 110-120 pages and includes more than 570 individual charts as well as tables and text.

* for more detailed coverage of Australia and New Zealand please see The Australian Economy this Week and The New Zealand Economy this Month, respectively.

THE WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK 2022-05-16

THE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY THIS WEEK
20th May 2022



This chart pack, published on Friday evening (Eastern Australian time) each week, portrays developments in the Australian economy, with particular emphasis on:

  • the impact of Covid-19,
  • broad indicators of economic growth,
  • conditions in the business sector
  • the household sector, and consumer spending
  • housing finance and construction. and the residential property market
  • the labour market
  • commodity prices, trade and the balance of payments
  • inflation,
  • fiscal and monetary policy,
  • Australian financial markets

Closer to this year’s federal elections – which have to be held no later than 29th May – we will include some pages on political developments as well.

The pack typically runs to 80-90 pages and includes some 280 charts.

For coverage of the global economy, please see The World Economy this Week

THE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY THIS WEEK 2022-05-20

EVENTS

Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


online events @ saul-eslake.com



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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


The World Economy this Week 2022-05-16

The World Economy This Week | 16th May 2022

The Australian Economy this Week 2022-05-20

The Australian Economy This Week | 20th May 2022

Who is a better economic manager?
Australian Society and Politics, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
21st May 2022


Monash University Indonesia and XSPI webinar
Asian Economies, The Australian Economy
17th May 2022


The Morrison Government’s “Super for Housing” (with Joe O’Brien)
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview
16th May 2022


The Morrison Government’s “Super for Housing” (with Peter Ryan)
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview
16th May 2022


Tasmania Talks 16 May 2022
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
16th May 2022


Why Reserve Bank needs to raise rates next week
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Economic Video, News, The Australian Economy
28th April 2022


“Why ‘less’ could be more when it comes to solving housing affordability crisis” – interview with Melbourne radio 3AW’s Tom Elliott
Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News
22nd April 2022


Who are the ‘better managers’ of Australia’s economy?
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy
21st April 2022


60 years of housing policy failure
Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview
18th April 2022


Jobs in Depth with SBS’ Ricardo Gonçalves
News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
15th April 2022


“Better economic managers”: a factcheck with Saul Eslake
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
13th April 2022


How greed and politics threaten Tasmanian living standards
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Tasmania
12th April 2022


VIDEO

Recent Presentations


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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

Read more

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